IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cbt/econwp/13-01.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Role of mid-year dividends as predictors of yearly earnings

Author

Listed:

Abstract

New Zealand joint dividend and earnings announcement data is used to corroborate an aspect of dividend signalling espoused by Miller and Rock (1985). This is, that dividends announced within the course of a company’s financial year may be interpreted by investors as a signal about the quality of its annual earnings, even when interim earnings figures are published. This is because interim earnings figures may thought to be less trustworthy than annual ones. Given that firms listed on the New Zealand stock Exchange are required to furnish half-yearly financial reports, and that these reports disclose both EPS and dividend information, the simultaneity and semi-annual frequency of New Zealand company EPS and DPS information provide a natural test of differences between investor reactions to within-year and end-of-year announcement data with respect to Miller and Rock’s contention.

Suggested Citation

  • Warwick Anderson, 2013. "The Role of mid-year dividends as predictors of yearly earnings," Working Papers in Economics 13/01, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:13/01
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.canterbury.ac.nz/cbt/econwp/1301.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Donald H. Fehrs & Gary A. Benesh & David R. Peterson, 1988. "Evidence Of A Relation Between Stock Price Reactions Around Cash Dividend Changes And Yields," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 11(2), pages 111-123, June.
    2. Penman, Stephen H, 1983. "The Predictive Content of Earnings Forecasts and Dividends," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 1181-1199, September.
    3. Gonedes, Nj, 1978. "Corporate Signaling, External Accounting, And Capital-Market Equilibrium - Evidence On Dividends, Income, And Extraordinary Items," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 26-79.
    4. Pettit, R Richardson, 1972. "Dividend Announcements, Security Performance, and Capital Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 27(5), pages 993-1007, December.
    5. Divecha, Arjun & Morse, Dale, 1983. "Market Responses to Dividend Increases and Changes in Payout Ratios," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(2), pages 163-173, June.
    6. Gary A. Benesh & Arthur J. Keown & John M. Pinkerton, 1984. "An Examination Of Market Reaction To Substantial Shifts In Dividend Policy," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 7(2), pages 131-142, June.
    7. Ball, R & Brown, P, 1968. "Empirical Evaluation Of Accounting Income Numbers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(2), pages 159-178.
    8. Roger Best & Ronald Best, 2000. "Earnings expectations and the relative information content of dividend and earnings announcements," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 24(3), pages 232-245, September.
    9. John, Kose & Williams, Joseph, 1985. "Dividends, Dilution, and Taxes: A Signalling Equilibrium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(4), pages 1053-1070, September.
    10. Sudipto Bhattacharya, 1979. "Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and "The Bird in the Hand" Fallacy," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 10(1), pages 259-270, Spring.
    11. Sant, Rajiv & Cowan, Arnold R., 1994. "Do dividends signal earnings? The case of omitted dividends," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 1113-1133, December.
    12. Healy, Paul M. & Palepu, Krishna G., 1988. "Earnings information conveyed by dividend initiations and omissions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 149-175, September.
    13. Chinmoy Ghosh & J. Randall Woolridge, 1988. "An Analysis Of Shareholder Reaction To Dividend Cuts And Omissions," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 11(4), pages 281-294, December.
    14. Merton H. Miller & Franco Modigliani, 1961. "Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34, pages 411-411.
    15. Kane, Alex & Lee, Young Ki & Marcus, Alan, 1984. "Earnings and Dividend Announcements: Is There a Corroboration Effect?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(4), pages 1091-1099, September.
    16. Miller, Merton H & Rock, Kevin, 1985. "Dividend Policy under Asymmetric Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(4), pages 1031-1051, September.
    17. Paul G. Darling, 1957. "The Influence of Expectations and Liquidity on Dividend Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 65(3), pages 209-209.
    18. J. Randall Woolridge, 1982. "The Information Content Of Dividend Changes," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 5(3), pages 237-247, September.
    19. Charest, Guy, 1978. "Dividend information, stock returns and market efficiency-II," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2-3), pages 297-330.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frankfurter, George M. & Wood, Bob Jr., 2002. "Dividend policy theories and their empirical tests," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 111-138.
    2. Sabur Mollah, 2007. "Price Reaction To Dividend Initiations And Omissions In Emerging Market: Evidence From Pre And Post Market Crisis In Bangladesh," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 1(2), pages 51-68.
    3. Chin-Sheng Huang & Chun-Fan You & Hsiao-Fen Hsiao, 2017. "Dividends and Subsequent Profitability: An Examination of a Dual Dividend Stock Market," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(01), pages 1-35, March.
    4. Roni Michaely & Stefano Rossi & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2017. "The Information Content of Dividends: Safer Profits, Not Higher Profits," CESifo Working Paper Series 6751, CESifo.
    5. T. McCluskey & B. M. Burton & D. M. Power & C. D. Sinclair, 2006. "Evidence on the Irish stock market's reaction to dividend announcements," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(8), pages 617-628.
    6. Mbodja Mougoué & Ramesh P. Rao, 2003. "The Information Signaling Hypothesis of Dividends: Evidence from Cointegration and Causality Tests," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3‐4), pages 441-478, April.
    7. Darren K. Hayunga & Clifford P. Stephens, 2009. "Dividend behaviour of US equity REITs," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 105-123, September.
    8. Eva Liljeblom & Sabur Mollah & Patrik Rotter, 2015. "Do dividends signal future earnings in the Nordic stock markets?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 493-511, April.
    9. Blau, Benjamin M. & Fuller, Kathleen P., 2008. "Flexibility and dividends," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 133-152, April.
    10. Ham, Charles G. & Kaplan, Zachary R. & Leary, Mark T., 2020. "Do dividends convey information about future earnings?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 547-570.
    11. Naheed Rabbani, 2017. "The Announcement Effect of Cash Dividend Changes on Share Prices: Evidence from Dhaka Stock Exchange," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-19, December.
    12. Wei Hao & Udomsak Wongchoti & Martin Young & Jianguo Chen, 2021. "R2 and the corporate signaling effect," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 1353-1381, December.
    13. Herman Manakyan & Carolyn Carroll, 1990. "An Empirical Examination Of The Existence Of A Signaling Value Function For Dividends," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 13(3), pages 201-210, September.
    14. Bozos, Konstantinos & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos & Ramgandhi, Ghanamaruthy, 2011. "Dividend signaling under economic adversity: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 364-374.
    15. Mao Liang Li & Chin Man Chui & Chang Qing Li, 2014. "Dividend, liquidity and firm valuation: evidence from China AB share markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(9), pages 587-603, May.
    16. Małgorzata Snarska & Tomasz K. Wisniewski & Andrzej Zygula, 2020. "Are Emerging Markets Efficient? Evidence from Informational Content of Dividend Changes in Polish Stock Market," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 687-717.
    17. Low, Soo-Wah & Glorfeld, Louis & Hearth, Douglas & Rimbey, James N., 2001. "The link between bank monitoring and corporate dividend policy: The case of dividend omissions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(11), pages 2069-2087, November.
    18. Carlos Martins, 2007. "Consistency of Dividend Signalling and Future Maturity Level:Evidence from UK Data," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 40, Departamento de Economia, Gestão e Engenharia Industrial, Universidade de Aveiro.
    19. Brucato, Peter Jr. & Smith, David M., 1997. "An analysis of the role of firm reputation in the market's reaction to corporate dividends," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 647-665.
    20. repec:hur:ijaraf:v:5:y:2015:i:1:p:130-136 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. H.Kent Baker & Gary E. Powell & E.Theodore Veit, 2002. "Revisiting the dividend puzzle," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(4), pages 241-261.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Event Study; Dividend Signalling;

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:13/01. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Albert Yee (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/decannz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.