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Assessing the Short-Term Effects on Output of Changes in Federal Fiscal Policies: Working Paper 2012-08

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  • Felix Reichling
  • Charles Whalen

Abstract

Changes in federal fiscal policies can have both short-term and long-term effects on output. The Congressional Budget Office’s analysis of the short-term effects focuses on the impact on the demand for goods and services. That impact can be decomposed into direct effects and indirect effects: Direct effects consist of changes in purchases of goods and services by federal agencies and by the people and organizations who are recipients of federal payments or payers of federal taxes; indirect effects enhance or offset the direct effects. The indirect effects can be summarized

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  • Felix Reichling & Charles Whalen, 2012. "Assessing the Short-Term Effects on Output of Changes in Federal Fiscal Policies: Working Paper 2012-08," Working Papers 43278, Congressional Budget Office.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbo:wpaper:43278
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    Cited by:

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    2. Dean Baker & Nick Buffie, 2015. "Pension Funding and the Economy: Would “Proper” Funding Cost Jobs?," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs 2015-22, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR).
    3. Jonathan Huntley, 2014. "The Long-Run Effects of Federal Budget Deficits on National Saving and Private Domestic Investment: Working Paper 2014-02," Working Papers 45140, Congressional Budget Office.
    4. Menzie Chinn, 2013. "fiscal multipliers," The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics,, Palgrave Macmillan.
    5. Felix Reichling & Charles Whalen, 2015. "The Fiscal Multiplier and Economic Policy Analysis in the United States: Working Paper 2015-02," Working Papers 49925, Congressional Budget Office.
    6. Cavallari, Lilia & Romano, Simone, 2017. "Fiscal policy in Europe: The importance of making it predictable," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 81-97.
    7. Heilemann Ullrich, 2015. "Literaturbeitrag / Review Paper. Macroeconometric Models – From “Little Science” to “Big Science”," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 235(1), pages 82-89, February.
    8. Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, 2020. "Comment on "What Do We Learn From Cross-Regional Empirical Estimates in Macroeconomics?"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2020, volume 35, pages 224-231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Charles J. Whalen & Felix Reichling, 2015. "The Fiscal Multiplier And Economic Policy Analysis In The United States," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(4), pages 735-746, October.
    10. Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues, 2020. "Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In The United States And Brazil: Svar Approach," Working Papers REM 2020/0150, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.

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