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The Economics of the ASEAN Economic Community

Author

Listed:
  • Peter A. Petri

    (International Business School, Brandeis University)

  • Michael G. Plummer

    (Johns Hopkins University)

  • Fan Zhai

    (China Investment Corporation)

Abstract

The ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) is the largest integration effort attempted in the developing world; if realized, it will create a single market with the free movement of goods, services, foreign direct investment and skilled labor, and freer movement of capital encompassing nearly 600 million people. The study finds that the AEC could yield benefits similar to those of the European Union, amounting to 5.3% of the region’s GDP and more than twice that if, as expected, the AEC leads to free trade agreements with key external partners. Every ASEAN member will share in these benefits. There will be mild trade and investment diversion effects, but the world as a whole will benefit from the AEC. Nevertheless, the AEC poses political challenges: the study finds that the project will imply significant structural adjustment in several ASEAN economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter A. Petri & Michael G. Plummer & Fan Zhai, 2010. "The Economics of the ASEAN Economic Community," Working Papers 13, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:brd:wpaper:13
    as

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    File URL: http://www.brandeis.edu/economics/RePEc/brd/doc/Brandeis_WP13.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2010
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Azmat Gani & Michael D. Clemes, 2010. "Services and economic growth in Pacific Island countries," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(2), pages 113-130, July.
    2. Zhai, Fan, 2008. "Armington Meets Melitz: Introducing Firm Heterogeneity in a Global CGE Model of Trade," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 23, pages 575-604.
    3. Thomas W. Hertel & Terrie Walmsley & Ken Itakura, 2005. "Dynamic Effects Of The "New Age" Free Trade Agreement Between Japan And Singapore," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Philippa Dee & Michael Ferrantino (ed.), Quantitative Methods For Assessing The Effects Of Non-Tariff Measures And Trade Facilitation, chapter 18, pages 483-523, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Thomas W. Hertel & Terrie Walmsley & Ken Itakura, 2005. "Dynamic Effects Of The "New Age" Free Trade Agreement Between Japan And Singapore," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Philippa Dee & Michael Ferrantino (ed.), Quantitative Methods For Assessing The Effects Of Non-Tariff Measures And Trade Facilitation, chapter 18, pages 483-523, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Bijit Bora & Aki Kuwahara & Sam Laird, 2002. "Quantification Of Non-Tariff Measures," UNCTAD Blue Series Papers 18, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    6. Mr. Tubagus Feridhanusetyawan, 2005. "Preferential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region," IMF Working Papers 2005/149, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Shepherd, Ben & Wilson, John S., 2009. "Trade facilitation in ASEAN member countries: Measuring progress and assessing priorities," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 367-383, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Arita, Shawn & Tanaka, Kiyoyasu, 2013. "FDI and investment barriers in developing economies," IDE Discussion Papers 431, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    2. repec:ilo:ilowps:487274 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Suppanunta Romprasert, 2013. "Asian Economic Community with Selected Macroeconomic Variables for Exports Sustainability," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 602-605.
    4. Nyo, Myat Khet., 2015. "ASEAN Community 2015 managing integration for better jobs and shared prosperity in Myanmar," ILO Working Papers 994872743402676, International Labour Organization.
    5. Pariwat Kanithasen & Vacharakoon Jivakanont & Charnon Boonnuch, 2011. "AEC 2015: Ambitions, Expectations and Challenges ASEAN's Path towards Greater Economic and Financial Integration," Working Papers 2011-03, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ASEAN; ASEAN Economic Community; Regional Economic Integration; Free Trade Areas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O2 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy

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