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Withheld from Working More? Withholding Taxes and the Labor Supply of Married Women

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  • Tim Bayer
  • Lenard Simon
  • Jakob Wegmann

Abstract

To collect income taxes, almost all countries require employers to withhold monthly tax prepayments which are then fully credited against the őnal income tax liabilities of their employees. Despite being a fundamental component of income taxation systems worldwide, the impact of these withholding taxes on labor supply is poorly understood. We investigate their importance in the context of married couples in Germany where the withholding tax liability can be redistributed between spouses. We exploit a reform that reduced the withholding tax for some marriedwomen more than for others, while inducing no differences in income taxes. Using administrative data for the full population of German taxpayers, we estimate an elasticity of labor income with respect to the withholding tax eight years after the reform of 0.14. Additional evidence from a self-conducted survey suggests imperfect understanding of the tax system and limited pooling of resources within the household as the main mechanisms. As the majority of couples shift parts of the withholding tax liability from the husband to the wife, our results suggest that the increased withholding tax liability of married women contributes to their low labor supply. This highlights the need for governments to be aware of the distortion of labor supply incentives when the design of withholding taxes does not match actual income tax incentives.

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Bayer & Lenard Simon & Jakob Wegmann, 2025. "Withheld from Working More? Withholding Taxes and the Labor Supply of Married Women," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_631, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2025_631
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexander Bick & Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, 2017. "Quantifying the Disincentive Effects of Joint Taxation on Married Women's Labor Supply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(5), pages 100-104, May.
    2. Emmanuel Saez & Joel Slemrod & Seth H. Giertz, 2012. "The Elasticity of Taxable Income with Respect to Marginal Tax Rates: A Critical Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 50(1), pages 3-50, March.
    3. Weber, Caroline E., 2014. "Toward obtaining a consistent estimate of the elasticity of taxable income using difference-in-differences," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 90-103.
    4. Michael Gelman & Shachar Kariv & Matthew D. Shapiro & Dan Silverman, 2022. "Rational Illiquidity and Consumption: Theory and Evidence from Income Tax Withholding and Refunds," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(9), pages 2959-2991, September.
    5. Brantly Callaway & Andrew Goodman-Bacon & Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna, 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with a Continuous Treatment," Papers 2107.02637, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    6. Messacar, Derek, 2018. "The effect of tax withholding on pre-retirement savings withdrawals: evidence from Canada," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(4), pages 534-553, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Withholding Taxes; Income Taxation; Gender; Labor Supply;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General
    • K34 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Tax Law

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