IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bon/boncrc/crctr224_2024_613.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Too-Many-To-Fail and the Design of Bailout Regimes

Author

Listed:
  • Wolf Wagner
  • Jing Zeng

Abstract

We show that the too-many-to-fail problem can be resolved through an appropriate design of the bailout regime. In our model, optimal investment balances benefits from more banks investing in high-return projects against higher systemic costs due to more banks failing simultaneously. Under a standard bailout regime, banks herd, anticipating that simultaneous failures trigger bailouts. However, a policy that prioritizes bailing out a predesignated group of banks eliminates herding and achieves the first-best. If such a policy is not feasible, its benefits can be attained by decentralizing bailout decisions to two regulators each responsible for a separate group of banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolf Wagner & Jing Zeng, 2024. "Too-Many-To-Fail and the Design of Bailout Regimes," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_613, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2024_613
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.crctr224.de/research/discussion-papers/archive/dp613
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jeremy C. Stein, 2009. "Presidential Address: Sophisticated Investors and Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(4), pages 1517-1548, August.
    2. Bruno Biais & Florian Heider & Marie Hoerova, 2021. "Variation Margins, Fire Sales, and Information-constrained Optimality [Leverage, Moral Hazard, and Liquidity]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(6), pages 2654-2686.
    3. Cordella, Tito & Yeyati, Eduardo Levy, 2003. "Bank bailouts: moral hazard vs. value effect," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 300-330, October.
    4. Viral V. Acharya, 2003. "Is the International Convergence of Capital Adequacy Regulation Desirable?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(6), pages 2745-2782, December.
    5. Jeremy C. Stein, 2012. "Monetary Policy as Financial Stability Regulation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(1), pages 57-95.
    6. Eduardo Dávila & Anton Korinek, 2018. "Pecuniary Externalities in Economies with Financial Frictions," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(1), pages 352-395.
    7. Perotti, Enrico C. & Suarez, Javier, 2002. "Last bank standing: What do I gain if you fail?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(9), pages 1599-1622, October.
    8. Acharya, Viral V. & Yorulmazer, Tanju, 2007. "Too many to fail--An analysis of time-inconsistency in bank closure policies," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-31, January.
    9. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1992. "Liquidation Values and Debt Capacity: A Market Equilibrium Approach," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1343-1366, September.
    10. Jean-Edouard Colliard, 2020. "Optimal Supervisory Architecture and Financial Integration in a Banking Union [Is the international convergence of capital adequacy regulation desirable?]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 24(1), pages 129-161.
    11. Friederike Niepmann & Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr, 2013. "Bank Bailouts, International Linkages, and Cooperation," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 270-305, November.
    12. Giacomo Calzolari & Jean-Edouard Colliard & Gyongyi Lóránth, 2019. "Multinational Banks and Supranational Supervision," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(8), pages 2997-3035.
    13. Viral V. Acharya & Tanju Yorulmazer, 2008. "Cash-in-the-Market Pricing and Optimal Resolution of Bank Failures," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(6), pages 2705-2742, November.
    14. Freixas, Xavier, 1999. "Optimal bail out policy, conditionality and creative ambiguity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119121, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Thomas Philippon & Olivier Wang, 2023. "Let the Worst One Fail: A Credible Solution to the Too-Big-To-Fail Conundrum," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(2), pages 1233-1271.
    16. Emmanuel Farhi & Jean Tirole, 2012. "Collective Moral Hazard, Maturity Mismatch, and Systemic Bailouts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(1), pages 60-93, February.
    17. Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale, 2005. "From Cash-in-the-Market Pricing to Financial Fragility," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 3(2-3), pages 535-546, 04/05.
    18. Bálint L. Horváth & Wolf Wagner, 2017. "The Disturbing Interaction between Countercyclical Capital Requirements and Systemic Risk," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(4), pages 1485-1511.
    19. Viral V Acharya & Lea Borchert & Maximilian Jager & Sascha Steffen, 2021. "Kicking the Can Down the Road: Government Interventions in the European Banking Sector," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(9), pages 4090-4131.
    20. Freixas, Xavier, 1999. "Optimal Bail-Out, Conditionality and Creative Ambiguity," CEPR Discussion Papers 2238, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    21. Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni & Marquez, Robert, 2006. "Competition among regulators and credit market integration," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 401-430, February.
    22. Viral V. Acharya & Hyun Song Shin & Tanju Yorulmazer, 2011. "Crisis Resolution and Bank Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(6), pages 2166-2205.
    23. James R. Barth, 1991. "The Great Savings and Loan Debacle," Books, American Enterprise Institute, number 918256, September.
    24. Kroszner, Randall S & Strahan, Philip E, 1996. "Regulatory Incentives and the Thrift Crisis: Dividends, Mutual-to-Stock Conversions, and Financial Distress," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1285-1319, September.
    25. repec:oup:rfinst:v:21:y:2017:i:4:p:1485-1511. is not listed on IDEAS
    26. Craig O. Brown & I. Serdar Dinç, 2011. "Too Many to Fail? Evidence of Regulatory Forbearance When the Banking Sector Is Weak," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(4), pages 1378-1405.
    27. Philip R. Lane, 2012. "The European Sovereign Debt Crisis," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 26(3), pages 49-68, Summer.
    28. Xavier Freixas, 1999. "Optimal bail out policy, conditionality and constructive ambiguity," Economics Working Papers 400, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wolf Wagner & Jing Zeng, 2023. "Too-many-to-fail and the Design of Bailout Regimes," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 230, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    2. Marius A. Zoican & Lucyna A. Górnicka, 2013. "Banking Unions: Distorted Incentives and Efficient Bank Resolution," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-184/VI, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 May 2014.
    3. Gazi I. Kara & S. Mehmet Ozsoy, 2016. "Bank regulation under fire sale externalities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-026, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Beck, Thorsten & Silva-Buston, Consuelo & Wagner, Wolf, 2023. "The Economics of Supranational Bank Supervision," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 58(1), pages 324-351, February.
    5. Viral V Acharya & Lea Borchert & Maximilian Jager & Sascha Steffen, 2021. "Kicking the Can Down the Road: Government Interventions in the European Banking Sector," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(9), pages 4090-4131.
    6. Kahn, Charles M. & Wagner, Wolf, 2021. "Sources of Liquidity and Liquidity Shortages," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    7. Kostic, Natalija & Muthsam, Viktoria & Laux, Christian, 2023. "Accounting Changes and Enforcement of Bank Capital Requirements in a Crisis," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277694, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Górnicka, Lucyna A. & Zoican, Marius A., 2016. "Too-international-to-fail? Supranational bank resolution and market discipline," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 41-58.
    9. Acharya, Viral V. & Yorulmazer, Tanju, 2007. "Too many to fail--An analysis of time-inconsistency in bank closure policies," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-31, January.
    10. Rob Nijskens & Sylvester Eijffinger, 2011. "The Lender of Last Resort: Liquidity Provision versus the Possibility of Bailout," Chapters, in: Sylvester Eijffinger & Donato Masciandaro (ed.), Handbook of Central Banking, Financial Regulation and Supervision, chapter 4, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Viral V. Acharya & Lea Borchert & Maximilian Jager & Sascha Steffen, 2023. "Kicking the Can Down the Road: Government Interventions in the European Banking Sector," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_446, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    12. Alan D. Morrison & Ansgar Walther, 2020. "Market Discipline and Systemic Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(2), pages 764-782, February.
    13. Marius Andrei Zoican & Lucyna Anna Gornicka, 2014. "Banking Union Optimal Design under Moral Hazard," 2014 Papers pzo33, Job Market Papers.
    14. Gazi I Kara & S Mehmet Ozsoy & Itay Goldstein, 2020. "Bank Regulation under Fire Sale Externalities," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(6), pages 2554-2584.
    15. Michael Diemer & Uwe Vollmer, 2015. "What makes banking crisis resolution difficult? Lessons from Japan and the Nordic Countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 5(2), pages 251-277, December.
    16. Dell’Ariccia, Giovanni & Ratnovski, Lev, 2019. "Bailouts and systemic insurance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 166-177.
    17. Friederike Niepmann & Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr, 2013. "Bank Bailouts, International Linkages, and Cooperation," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 270-305, November.
    18. Lorenzo Pandolfi, 2022. "Bail-in and Bailout: Friends or Foes?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(2), pages 1450-1468, February.
    19. Bosma, Jakob J., 2016. "Dueling policies: Why systemic risk taxation can fail," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 132-147.
    20. Padma Sharma, 2022. "Assessing Regulatory Responses to Banking Crises," Research Working Paper RWP 22-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    systemic risk; optimal investment; too-many-to-fail; time-consistency; bailouts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2024_613. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CRC Office (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.crctr224.de .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.