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The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on Emerging Market Economies: Breaks, Asymmetries and Fundamentals

Author

Listed:
  • Geun-Young Kim

    (Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea)

  • Hail Park

    (Department of International Business and Trade, Kyung Hee University)

  • Peter Tillmann

    (Department of Business and Economic Studies, Giessen University)

Abstract

The recent implementation of unconventional monetary policies in advanced economies and the preparations for an eventual return to normalization have renewed the interest in spillover effects of monetary policy on emerging market economies. This paper estimates a series of VAR-X models for a set of 10 emerging economies, that is, VARs in which U.S. policy enters exogenously. The contribution of this paper is (1) to use an identified shock component of the U.S. (shadow) Federal Funds rate as a consistent policy instrument for conventional and unconventional policies, (2) to account for changes in the transmission of U.S. monetary policy over time, (3) to quantify asymmetries in the transmission of tightening and easing shocks, and (4) to relate the exposure of emerging countries with macroeconomic fundamentals. The results point to substantially nonlinear and asymmetric spillover effects, which pose challenges to policymakers.

Suggested Citation

  • Geun-Young Kim & Hail Park & Peter Tillmann, 2016. "The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on Emerging Market Economies: Breaks, Asymmetries and Fundamentals," Working Papers 2016-1, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    • Handle: RePEc:bok:wpaper:1601
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Young Sik Kim & Ohik Kwon, 2019. "Central Bank Digital Currency and Financial Stability," Working Papers 2019-6, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    2. Sung Ho Park, 2018. "Fixed-Rate Loans and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2018-20, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    3. Ohik Kwon & Jaevin Park, 2018. "E-money: Legal Restrictions Theory and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2018-17, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    4. Youngjin Yun, 2018. "Cross-Border Bank Flows through Foreign Branches: Evidence from Korea," Working Papers 2018-23, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    5. Jinsoo Lee & Bok-Keun Yu, 2018. "What Drives the Stock Market Comovements between Korea and China, Japan and the US?," Working Papers 2018-2, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Conventional-Unconventional monetary policy; Spillovers; Emerging markets; VAR-X model; Asymmetries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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