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Sectoral Credit Shifts in Japan: Causes and Consequences of Their Decline in the 1990s

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  • Yumi Saita

    (Bank of Japan)

  • Toshitaka Sekine

    (Bank of Japan)

Abstract

In this paper, we construct a simple measure of sectoral credit shifts, defined as the dispersion of growth rates of bank loans across sectors, and investigate what effects they had on Japan's economy and what accounted for their development. We find that (i) during the 1990s, the amount of sectoral credit shifts declined significantly, which was responsible for---in conjunction with effects from falls in land prices and aggregate outstanding loans---the stagnated real growth; and (ii) the decline in the credit shifts in the 1990s reflected weakened financial intermediation rather than a decrease in the size of sectoral shocks. These results are consistent with the view that financial intermediation was weakened by the exacerbated non-performing loan problems after the collapse of the asset price bubble, and thus prevented credits from shifting to relatively efficient sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Yumi Saita & Toshitaka Sekine, 2001. "Sectoral Credit Shifts in Japan: Causes and Consequences of Their Decline in the 1990s," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series Research and Statistics D, Bank of Japan.
    • Handle: RePEc:boj:bojwps:01-e-16r
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    Cited by:

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    2. Masashi Saito & Yoshihiko Hogen, 2014. "Portfolio Rebalancing Following the Bank of Japan's Government Bond Purchases: Empirical Analysis Using Data on Bank Loans and Investment Flows," Bank of Japan Research Papers 14-06-19, Bank of Japan.
    3. Sekine, Toshitaka & Kobayashi, Keiichiro & Saita, Yumi, 2003. "Forbearance Lending: The Case of Japanese Firms," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 21(2), pages 69-92, August.
    4. Hyeog Ug Kwon & Futoshi Narita & Machiko Narita, 2015. "Resource Reallocation and Zombie Lending in Japan in the 1990s," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 18(4), pages 709-732, October.
    5. SAKAI Koji & UESUGI Iichiro, 2019. "The Extent and Efficiency of Credit Reallocation during Economic Downturns," Discussion papers 19004, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    6. Takatoshi Sasaki & Tomoya Sakata & Yui Mukoyama & Koichi Yoshino, 2021. "China's Long-Term Growth Potential: Can Productivity Convergence Be Sustained?," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-7, Bank of Japan.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit; sectoral shock; growth; non-performing loan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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