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A Peek Inside the Black Box: The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Japan

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  • Mr. Tamim Bayoumi
  • Mr. James Morsink

Abstract

This paper uses vector autoregressions to examine the monetary transmission mechanism in Japan. The empirical results indicate that both monetary policy and banks’ balance sheets are important sources of shocks, that banks play a crucial role in transmitting monetary shocks to economic activity, that corporations and households have not been able to substitute borrowing from other sources for a shortfall in bank borrowing, and that business investment is especially sensitive to monetary shocks. We conclude that policy measures to strengthen banks are probably a prerequisite for restoring the effectiveness of the monetary transmission mechanism.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Tamim Bayoumi & Mr. James Morsink, 1999. "A Peek Inside the Black Box: The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Japan," IMF Working Papers 1999/137, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1999/137
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    Keywords

    WP; broad money; interest rate; call rate; demand; bank loan; Monetary transmission mechanism; bank behavior; broad money shock; private demand; overnight call rate; interest rate shock; bank weakness; interest rate channel; Bank credit; Monetary base; Private investment; Loans; Asia and Pacific;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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