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Financial Stability Paper No 1: Costs of Sovereign Default

Author

Listed:
  • De Paoli, Biana

    (Bank of England)

  • Hoggarth, Glenn

    (Bank of England)

  • Saporta, Victoria

    (Bank of England)

Abstract

Over the past quarter of a century, emerging market economies (EMEs) have defaulted on their sovereign debts frequently. This article assesses the size and types of costs that have been associated with these defaults. It emphasises that costs, measured by the fall in output, are particularly large when default is combined with banking and/or currency crises. Output losses also seem to increase the longer that countries stay in arrears or take to restructure their debts. The paper concludes with a number of policy suggestions to improve debt crisis prevention and management and the role played by the IMF.

Suggested Citation

  • De Paoli, Biana & Hoggarth, Glenn & Saporta, Victoria, 2006. "Financial Stability Paper No 1: Costs of Sovereign Default," Bank of England Financial Stability Papers 1, Bank of England.
    • Handle: RePEc:boe:finsta:0001
    Note: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/financialstability/Pages/fpc/fspapers/fs_paper01.aspx
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo Borensztein & Ugo Panizza, 2009. "The Costs of Sovereign Default," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(4), pages 683-741, November.
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    3. Oya Celasun & Philipp Harms, 2011. "Boon Or Burden? The Effect Of Private Sector Debt On The Risk Of Sovereign Default In Developing Countries," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 49(1), pages 70-88, January.
    4. Cheng, Jin & Dai, Meixing & Dufourt, Frédéric, 2017. "Banking and sovereign debt crises in a monetary union without central bank intervention," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 142-151.
    5. Yeyati, Eduardo Levy & Panizza, Ugo, 2011. "The elusive costs of sovereign defaults," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 95-105, January.
    6. Roberto Savona & Marika Vezzoli, 2015. "Fitting and Forecasting Sovereign Defaults using Multiple Risk Signals," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(1), pages 66-92, February.
    7. Yong Kyun Kim, 2017. "Inequality and Sovereign Default under Democracy," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 1(1), pages 81-115.
    8. Ugo Panizza & Federico Sturzenegger & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2009. "The Economics and Law of Sovereign Debt and Default," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 651-698, September.
    9. Horn, Fabian, 2015. "Quantifying the costs of sovereign defaults using odious debt cases as a quasi-natural experiment," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113125, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Michael Tomz & Mark L.J. Wright, 2013. "Empirical Research on Sovereign Debt and Default," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 247-272, May.
    11. Semjonova Nadežda, 2016. "Financial Security in the Baltic States: Comparison with Selected EU Countries," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 29(1), pages 90-95, August.
    12. Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Răzvan, 2020. "Iluzii financiare, Partea întâi [Financial Illusions, Part 1]," MPRA Paper 101201, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Jun 2020.
    13. Diptes C. P. Bhimjee, 2023. "The euro area sovereign debt crisis and the sovereign debt Laffer curve: a historic assessment for 1999–2014," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    14. Kikkawa, Ayumu Ken & Sasahara, Akira, 2020. "Gains from trade and the sovereign bond market," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    15. Nikolai Stähler, 2013. "Recent Developments In Quantitative Models Of Sovereign Default," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 605-633, September.
    16. Bedford, Paul & Irwin, Gregor, 2008. "Financial Stability Paper No 4: Reforming the IMF's Lending-into-Arrears Framework," Bank of England Financial Stability Papers 4, Bank of England.
    17. Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese, 2013. "Sovereign credit spreads," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4217-4225.
    18. Tuomas Malinen & Olli Ropponen, 2022. "To default or not? The aftermath of sovereign defaults and IMF programs in economic crises," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(7), pages 2052-2083, July.
    19. Bofinger, Peter & Buch, Claudia M. & Feld, Lars P. & Franz, Wolfgang & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2012. "Nach dem EU-Gipfel: Zeit für langfristige Lösungen nutzen," Special Reports / Sondergutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, number 75379.
    20. Beck Hanno & Wentzel Dirk, 2011. "Ordnungspolitische Überlegungen zu einer Insolvenzordnung für Staaten / Principles for an Insolvency Code for States," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 62(1), pages 71-100, January.
    21. Nathan M. Jensen & Noel P. Johnston & Chia-yi Lee & Hadi Sahin, 2020. "Crisis and contract breach: The domestic and international determinants of expropriation," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 869-898, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EME; Sovereign; Default;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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