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Research on exchange rates and monetary policy: an overview

Author

Listed:
  • Jeffery D. Amato

    (Goldman Sachs International)

  • Andrew Filardo
  • Gabriele Galati
  • Goetz von Peter
  • Feng Zhu

Abstract

This paper reviews research carried out on exchange rates and monetary policy by central banks that participated at the Autumn Meeting of Central Bank Economists on "Exchange rates and monetary policy", which the BIS hosted on 28-29 October 2004. The first part of the paper focuses on the approaches that central banks have found most useful in modelling exchange rate behaviour. We describe efforts to explain exchange rate behaviour ex post and to forecast its future evolution ex ante. We then summarise central banks' recent research on the linkage between exchange rates and inflation, output, profits and the current account. We highlight the main models and methodologies, the main empirical results and the key challenges ahead. The second part of the paper is devoted to research that examines the actual experience that countries have had in incorporating the exchange rate into their monetary policy decisions, and the main lessons learned.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffery D. Amato & Andrew Filardo & Gabriele Galati & Goetz von Peter & Feng Zhu, 2005. "Research on exchange rates and monetary policy: an overview," BIS Working Papers 178, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:178
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    2. Bharat Chadha, 2007. "Impact of U.S. Federal Interest Rate and Movement of MSCI on Indian Capital Markets," Working Papers id:1024, eSocialSciences.
    3. Robert Neil McCauley, 2006. "Understanding monetary policy in Malaysia and Thailand: objectives, instruments and independence," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in Asia: approaches and implementation, volume 31, pages 172-198, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Forte, Antonio, 2009. "The stability of the inflation rate in the Euro area: the role of Globalization and labour market," MPRA Paper 16587, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Bank for International Settlements, 2007. "Evolving banking systems in Latin America and the Caribbean: challenges and implications for monetary policy and financial stability," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 33.
    6. Bonpasse, Morrison, 2006. "The Single Global Currency: Common Cents for the World," MPRA Paper 1175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Antonio Forte, 2009. "The pass-through effect: a twofold analysis," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2009_08, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    8. Carlos Montoro & Marco Ortiz, 2020. "The Portfolio Channel of Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange Intervention in A Small Open Economy," Working Papers 168, Peruvian Economic Association.
    9. Dennis Bonam & Gabriele Galati & Irma Hindrayanto & Marco Hoeberichts & Anna Samarina & Irina Stanga, 2019. "Inflation in the euro area since the Global Financial Crisis," DNB Occasional Studies 1703, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    10. Bonpasse, Morrison, 2007. "The Single Global Currency - Common Cents for the World (2007 Edition)," MPRA Paper 5879, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Bonpasse, Morrison, 2009. "The single global currency - common cents for the world (2008 Edition)," MPRA Paper 14756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Siklos, Pierre L., 2006. "Hungary's entry into the euro area: Lessons for prospective members from a monetary policy perspective," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 366-384, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; International Finance; Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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