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El crecimiento económico colombiano: datos nuevos y modelos viejos para interpretar el período 1925-2000

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  • Carlos Esteban Posada P.
  • Andrea Rojas A.

Abstract

En este documento presentamos y utilizamos una base de datos demográficos y macroeconómicos colombianos del período 1925-2000. Del examen de estos datos sobresalen algunos rasgos interesantes. Entre estos se destacan la transición demográfica, iniciada a mediados del siglo XX, y las desaceleraciones de las tasas de crecimiento del capital humano, de los productos por trabajador y por habitante y de la productividad multifactorial en el último cuarto del siglo. Además, bajo ciertos supuestos calculamos: a) la brecha entre la tasa de inversión en capital físico y la tasa teórica de ahorro de equilibrio (según el modelo de Solow), b) el nivel de equilibrio de la tasa de rendimiento real del capital físico de estado estacionario, c) el salario real integral de equilibrio del año 2000 y d) los acervos de los capitales humano y total.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Esteban Posada P. & Andrea Rojas A., 2008. "El crecimiento económico colombiano: datos nuevos y modelos viejos para interpretar el período 1925-2000," Borradores de Economia 480, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:480
    DOI: 10.32468/be.480
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    2. Luis Eduardo Arango & Paula Herrera & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2008. "El salario mínimo: aspectos generales sobre los casos de Colombia y otros países," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 26(56), pages 204-263, June.
    3. Carlos Esteban Posada & Miguel Urrutia Montoya, 2004. "Un Siglo de Crecimiento Económico," Investigación Económica en Colombia 3692, Fundación Pondo.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Esteban Posada, 2013. "Crecimiento económico y transición demográfica: un modelo y el caso colombiano de los siglos XIX y XX," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, December.
    2. Camilo Alvis & Cristian Castrillón, 2013. "Tamano óptimo del gasto público colombiano: una aproximación desde la teoría del crecimiento endógeno," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, December.
    3. Carlos Esteban Posada & Jorge Andres Tamayo, 2008. "La transición hacia una economía urbana y el aumento del producto per cápita: el caso colombiano del siglo XX desde la perspectiva de Lucas," Borradores de Economia 534, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Miguel Urrutia Montoya, 2011. "Democracia y Crecimiento Económico en Colombia 1958-2000," Documentos CEDE 9254, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    5. Edgar Vicente MARCILLO YÉPEZ, 2012. "Cambio estructural y demanda de trabajo calificado en Colombia en el periodo 1950 - 2007," Archivos de Economía 10098, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Población; tasas de natalidad y mortalidad; crecimiento económico; capital humano; productividad multifactorial; eficiencia laboral.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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