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Las fuentes del desempleo en Colombia: un examen a partir de un modelo SVEC

Author

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  • Enrique López Enciso
  • Martha Misas Arango

Abstract

En este artículo se analizan las fuentes del desempleo en Colombia en el marco de un modelo estructural de corrección de errores (SVEC). Con este propósito se estima un modelo de corrección de errores. El análisis de cointegración muestra la existencia de una relación de largo plazo entre la productividad, el empleo, el desempleo, la tasa real de cambio y el salario real. Con base en la forma reducida del modelo de corrección de errores se identifican los shocks estructurales y se determina su importancia para el desempleo a partir del análisis de impulso respuesta y la descomposición de la varianza del error de pronóstico.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrique López Enciso & Martha Misas Arango, 2006. "Las fuentes del desempleo en Colombia: un examen a partir de un modelo SVEC," Borradores de Economia 411, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:411
    DOI: 10.32468/be.411
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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Andrés Tamayo, 2008. "La tasa natural de desempleo en Colombia y sus determinantes," Borradores de Economia 491, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Echavarría-Soto, Juan José & López, Enrique & Ocampo, Sergio & Rodríguez-Niño, Norberto, 2012. "Choques, instituciones laborales y desempleo en Colombia," Chapters, in: Arango-Thomas, Luis Eduardo & Hamann-Salcedo, Franz Alonso (ed.), El mercado de trabajo en Colombia : hechos, tendencias e instituciones, chapter 18, pages 753-794, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuna & Paola Andrea Vaca González, 2014. "Causas del desempleo en Colombia en el siglo XXI: Evidencia a partir de un modelo var-x cointegrado," Revista de Economía del Caribe 14770, Universidad del Norte.
    4. José Tomás Peláez S. & Lya Paola Sierra S., 2016. "Does Industrial Employment React to Movements in the Real Exchange Rate? An Empirical Analysis for Colombia, 2000-2010," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 53(1), pages 39-60, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Desempleo; Cointegración; VEC estructural;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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