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Estimating Vacancies from Firms’ Hiring behavior: The Case of a Developing Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Leonardo Fabio Morales

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • José Lobo

Abstract

Vacancies are the center of any job creation process. In this paper, we study firms’ hiring behavior in a way that is directly related to vacancies. To understand the dynamic relationship between hires and vacancies, we estimate what we called a hiring function. Even though we cannot observe vacancies in our data, we propose an original procedure that allows recovering an estimate of vacancies. For this purpose we use firms’ standard information on hires and separations. Monte Carlo experiments show that the prediction of vacancies from this procedure is consistent. Using this prediction, we analyze the firm and aggregated level behavior of vacancies for the Colombian labor market. We find that 73% of all vacancies are created by large firms but, relatively, small firms create more new positions. The method we propose may be useful in developing economies, where there are no good sources of information on vacancies.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Fabio Morales & José Lobo, 2017. "Estimating Vacancies from Firms’ Hiring behavior: The Case of a Developing Economy," Borradores de Economia 1017, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1017
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Medina, Daniel & Morales, Leonardo Fabio, 2019. "Labour market fluidity and employment outcomes in Colombia: evidence from employer-employee linked data," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    2. Luz A. Flórez & Didier Hermida & Leonardo Fabio Morales, 2022. "The Heterogeneous Effect of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Flows in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1213, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Leonardo Fabio Morales & Carlos Ospino & Nicole Amaral, 2021. "Online Vacancies and its Role in Labor Market Performance," Borradores de Economia 1174, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Luz A. Flórez & Leonardo Fabio Morales & Daniel Medina & José Lobo, 2021. "Labor flows across firm size, age, and economic sector in Colombia vs. the United States," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1569-1600, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Turnover; Vacancies; Layoff; Labor Demand; Labor Force and Employment.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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