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An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response in Eurasian Countries

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  • Gonzalo De Cadenas Santiago
  • Alicia Garcia-Herrero
  • Alvaro Ortiz Vidal-Abarca
  • Tomasa Rodrigo Lopez

Abstract

This paper shows an empirical assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics in the Eurasian countries. We use a Big Database of social events (GDELT) to build several real time indexes of different stages of social unrest escalation consistent with the Unrest Lifecycle Theory and together with alternative measures of the state response.

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  • Gonzalo De Cadenas Santiago & Alicia Garcia-Herrero & Alvaro Ortiz Vidal-Abarca & Tomasa Rodrigo Lopez, 2015. "An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response in Eurasian Countries," Working Papers 1520, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:1520
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Litterman, Robert, 1986. "Forecasting with Bayesian vector autoregressions -- Five years of experience : Robert B. Litterman, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 4 (1986) 25-38," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 497-498.
    7. Terje Aven & Ortwin Renn, 2010. "Risk Management and Governance," Risk, Governance and Society, Springer, number 978-3-642-13926-0, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Angel de la Fuente, 2016. "Las finanzas autonómicas en 2015 y entre 2003 y 2015," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2016-15, FEDEA.
    2. Javier Alonso & Alfonso Arellano, 2015. "Heterogeneidad y difusion de la economia digital: el caso español," Working Papers 1528, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    3. Jose Felix Izquierdo, 2016. "Determinantes de los tipos de interes de las carteras de credito en la Eurozona," Working Papers 16/11, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    4. Angel De la Fuente, 2016. "Series enlazadas de PIB y otros agregados de Contabilidad Nacional para España (1955-2014)," Working Papers 1601, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    5. Angel De la Fuente, 2016. "La liquidación de 2014 del sistema de financiación de las CC. AA. de régimen común: Adenda," Working Papers 16/15, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    6. García-Herrero, Alicia & Schindowski, Robin, 2023. "Global trends in countries' perceptions of the Belt and Road Initiative," BOFIT Policy Briefs 10/2023, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    7. Angel De la Fuente, 2016. "La financiación regional en Alemania y en España: una perspectiva comparada," Working Papers 16/18, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    8. Angel De la Fuente, 2015. "Series Contabilidad Regional (II): Asalariados, rentas del trabajo y salarios medios," Working Papers 1531, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    9. Shushanik Papanyan, 2015. "Digitization and Productivity: Measuring Cycles of Technological Progress," Working Papers 15/33, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    10. Angel de la Fuente, 2016. "La evolución de la financiación de las comunidades autónomas de régimen común, 2002-2014," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2016-31, FEDEA.
    11. Angel De la Fuente, 2016. "La liquidacion de 2014 del sistema de financiacion autonomica," Working Papers 16/13, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    12. Angel De la Fuente, 2016. "Series largas de algunos agregados demograficos regionales, 1950-2015," Working Papers 16/07, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.

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