IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bbk/bbkefp/1204.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Testing Non-linearity Using a Modified Q Test

Author

Listed:
  • Marian Vavra

    (Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, Birkbeck)

Abstract

A new version of the Q test, based on generalized residual correlations (i.e. auto-correlations and cross-correlations), is developed in this paper. The Q test fixes two main shortcomings of the Mcleod and Li Q (MLQ) test often used in the literature: (i) the test is capable to capture some interesting non-linear models, for which the original MLQ test completely fails (e.g. a non-linear moving average model). Additionally, the Q test also significantly improves the power for some other non-linear models (e.g. a threshold moving average model), for which the original MLQ test does not work very well; (ii) the new Q test can be used for discrimination between simple and more complicated (non-linear/asymmetric) GARCH models as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Marian Vavra, 2012. "Testing Non-linearity Using a Modified Q Test," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1204, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbk:bbkefp:1204
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/5955
    File Function: First version, 2012
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kwan, Andy C. C. & Sim, Ah-Boon, 1996. "Portmanteau tests of randomness and Jenkins' variance-stabilizing transformation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 41-49, January.
    2. Lobato I. N., 2001. "Testing That a Dependent Process Is Uncorrelated," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1066-1076, September.
    3. Ding, Zhuanxin & Granger, Clive W. J. & Engle, Robert F., 1993. "A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 83-106, June.
    4. Psaradakis Zacharias, 2000. "p-Value Adjustments for Multiple Tests for Nonlinearity," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(3), pages 1-8, October.
    5. William A. Barnett & A. Ronald Gallant & Melvin J. Hinich & Jochen A. Jungeilges & Daniel T. Kaplan, 2004. "A Single-Blind Controlled Competition Among Tests for Nonlinearity and Chaos," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: Functional Structure and Approximation in Econometrics, pages 581-615, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    6. Serena Ng & Pierre Perron, 2005. "A Note on the Selection of Time Series Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(1), pages 115-134, February.
    7. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Lobato, Ignacio N., 2009. "An automatic Portmanteau test for serial correlation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 140-149, August.
    8. W. K. Li & T. K. Mak, 1994. "On The Squared Residual Autocorrelations In Non‐Linear Time Series With Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(6), pages 627-636, November.
    9. A. I. McLeod & W. K. Li, 1983. "Diagnostic Checking Arma Time Series Models Using Squared‐Residual Autocorrelations," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(4), pages 269-273, July.
    10. Yao, Qiwei & Brockwell, Peter J, 2006. "Gaussian maximum likelihood estimation for ARMA models. I. Time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57580, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. de Lima, Pedro J. F., 1997. "On the robustness of nonlinearity tests to moment condition failure," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1-2), pages 251-280.
    12. Jansen, Dennis W & de Vries, Casper G, 1991. "On the Frequency of Large Stock Returns: Putting Booms and Busts into Perspective," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 73(1), pages 18-24, February.
    13. Maravall, Agustin, 1983. "An Application of Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(1), pages 66-74, January.
    14. Lee, Tae-Hwy & White, Halbert & Granger, Clive W. J., 1993. "Testing for neglected nonlinearity in time series models : A comparison of neural network methods and alternative tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 269-290, April.
    15. Terasvirta, Timo & Tjostheim, Dag & Granger, Clive W. J., 2010. "Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199587155.
    16. Lewis, Richard & Reinsel, Gregory C., 1985. "Prediction of multivariate time series by autoregressive model fitting," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 393-411, June.
    17. Kapetanios, George, 2009. "Testing for strict stationarity in financial variables," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(12), pages 2346-2362, December.
    18. Qiwei Yao & Peter J. Brockwell, 2006. "Gaussian Maximum Likelihood Estimation For ARMA Models. I. Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(6), pages 857-875, November.
    19. Kuersteiner, Guido M., 2001. "Optimal instrumental variables estimation for ARMA models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 359-405, September.
    20. Lobato, I.N. & Nankervis, John C. & Savin, N.E., 2002. "Testing For Zero Autocorrelation In The Presence Of Statistical Dependence," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 730-743, June.
    21. Simone Giannerini & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Estela Bee Dagum, 2015. "Entropy testing for nonlinear serial dependence in time series," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 102(3), pages 661-675.
    22. Ana Pérez & Esther Ruiz, 2003. "Properties of the Sample Autocorrelations of Nonlinear Transformations in Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(3), pages 420-444.
    23. Runde, Ralf, 1997. "The asymptotic null distribution of the Box-Pierce Q-statistic for random variables with infinite variance an application to German stock returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 205-216, June.
    24. Yongmiao Hong & Halbert White, 2005. "Asymptotic Distribution Theory for Nonparametric Entropy Measures of Serial Dependence," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(3), pages 837-901, May.
    25. Hong, Yongmiao & Lee, Tae-Hwy, 2003. "Diagnostic Checking For The Adequacy Of Nonlinear Time Series Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(6), pages 1065-1121, December.
    26. J. Kreiss, 1991. "Estimation of the distribution function of noise in stationary processes," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 285-297, December.
    27. Yao, Qiwei & Brockwell, Peter J., 2006. "Gaussian maximum likelihood estimation for ARMA models I: time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 5825, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    28. Horowitz, Joel L. & Lobato, I.N. & Nankervis, John C. & Savin, N.E., 2006. "Bootstrapping the Box-Pierce Q test: A robust test of uncorrelatedness," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 841-862, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. November Reading
      by Dave Giles in Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog on 2016-11-04 20:28:00

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Grivas, Charisios, 2021. "An Automatic Portmanteau Test For Nonlinear Dependence," MPRA Paper 114312, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Aug 2022.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ke Zhu, 2016. "Bootstrapping the portmanteau tests in weak auto-regressive moving average models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(2), pages 463-485, March.
    2. Marian Vavra, 2012. "Robustness of Power Properties of Non-linearity Tests," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1205, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    3. Shao, Xiaofeng, 2011. "A bootstrap-assisted spectral test of white noise under unknown dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 213-224, June.
    4. Harvey,Andrew C., 2013. "Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107034723, September.
    5. Zheng, Tingguo & Xiao, Han & Chen, Rong, 2015. "Generalized ARMA models with martingale difference errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 492-506.
    6. Kilani Ghoudi & Bruno Rémillard, 2018. "Serial independence tests for innovations of conditional mean and variance models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(1), pages 3-26, March.
    7. Mengya Liu & Fukan Zhu & Ke Zhu, 2020. "Multi-frequency-band tests for white noise under heteroskedasticity," Papers 2004.09161, arXiv.org.
    8. Gençay, Ramazan & Signori, Daniele, 2015. "Multi-scale tests for serial correlation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 62-80.
    9. Ke Zhu, 2018. "Statistical inference for autoregressive models under heteroscedasticity of unknown form," Papers 1804.02348, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    10. Zacharias Psaradakis & Marián Vávra, 2015. "A Quantile-based Test for Symmetry of Weakly Dependent Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 587-598, July.
    11. Pena, Daniel & Rodriguez, Julio, 2005. "Detecting nonlinearity in time series by model selection criteria," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 731-748.
    12. Hill, Jonathan B. & Motegi, Kaiji, 2019. "Testing the white noise hypothesis of stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 231-242.
    13. de Lima, Pedro J. F., 1997. "On the robustness of nonlinearity tests to moment condition failure," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1-2), pages 251-280.
    14. Yong Bao, 2018. "The asymptotic covariance matrix of the QMLE in ARMA models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 309-324, April.
    15. Dalla, Violetta & Giraitis, Liudas & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2022. "Robust Tests For White Noise And Cross-Correlation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(5), pages 913-941, October.
    16. Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model," CARF F-Series CARF-F-145, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    17. Chen, Yi-Ting & Chou, Ray Y. & Kuan, Chung-Ming, 2000. "Testing time reversibility without moment restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 199-218, March.
    18. repec:bla:jecsur:v:22:y:2008:i:4:p:711-751 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. repec:esx:essedp:767 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Rosa Espejo & Nikolai Leonenko & Andriy Olenko & María Ruiz-Medina, 2015. "On a class of minimum contrast estimators for Gegenbauer random fields," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(4), pages 657-680, December.
    21. Stan Hurn & Ralf Becker, 2009. "Testing for Nonlinearity in Mean in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 311-326, September.
    22. Christian M. Hafner & Helmut Herwartz, 2009. "Testing for linear vector autoregressive dynamics under multivariate generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 63(3), pages 294-323, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    non-linearity testing; portmanteau Q test; auto-correlation; cross-correlation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bbk:bbkefp:1204. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.bbk.ac.uk/departments/ems/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.