IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/azt/cemmap/04-24.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Marginal effects for probit and tobit with endogeneity

Author

Listed:
  • Kirill Evdokimov
  • Ilze Kalnina
  • Andrei Zeleneev

Abstract

When evaluating partial effects, it is important to distinguish between structural endogeneity and measurement errors. In contrast to linear models, these two sources of endogeneity affect partial effects differently in nonlinear models. We study this issue focusing on the Instrumental Variable (IV) Probit and Tobit models. We show that even when a valid IV is available, failing to differentiate between the two types of endogeneity can lead to either under- or over-estimation of the partial effects. We develop simple estimators of the bounds on the partial effects and provide easy to implement confidence intervals that correctly account for both types of endogeneity. We illustrate the methods in a Monte Carlo simulation and an empirical application.

Suggested Citation

  • Kirill Evdokimov & Ilze Kalnina & Andrei Zeleneev, 2024. "Marginal effects for probit and tobit with endogeneity," CeMMAP working papers 04/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:azt:cemmap:04/24
    DOI: 10.47004/wp.cem.2024.0424
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cemmap.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/CWP0424-Marginal-effects-for-probit-and-tobit-with-endogeneity.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.47004/wp.cem.2024.0424?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Smith, Richard J & Blundell, Richard W, 1986. "An Exogeneity Test for a Simultaneous Equation Tobit Model with an Application to Labor Supply," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(3), pages 679-685, May.
    2. Newey, Whitney K., 1987. "Efficient estimation of limited dependent variable models with endogenous explanatory variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 231-250, November.
    3. Hahn, Jinyong & Ridder, Geert, 2017. "Instrumental variable estimation of nonlinear models with nonclassical measurement error using control variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(2), pages 238-250.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kirill Evdokimov & Ilze Kalnina & Andrei Zeleneev, 2025. "Marginal effects for probit and tobit with endogeneity," CeMMAP working papers 03/25, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    2. Sourafel Girma & Yundan Gong & Holger Görg & Zhihong Yu, 2009. "Can Production Subsidies Explain China's Export Performance? Evidence from Firm‐level Data," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 111(4), pages 863-891, December.
    3. Wang, Xiaobing & Yu, Xiaohua, 2011. "Scale Effects, Technical Efficiency and Land Lease in China," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 115736, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Sourafel Girma & Yundan Gong & Holger Görg, 2016. "Foreign Direct Investment, Access to Finance, and Innovation Activity in Chinese Enterprises," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISES AND HOST COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT Volume 53: World Scientific Studies in International Economics, chapter 5, pages 79-94, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Leandro M. Magnusson, 2010. "Inference in limited dependent variable models robust to weak identification," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 13(3), pages 56-79, October.
    6. Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2005. "Forecasting manufacturing output growth using firm-level survey data," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 251, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    7. Clarke, George R.G., 2005. "Beyond tariffs and quotas : why don't African manufacturers export more?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3617, The World Bank.
    8. Abbi M. Kedir & Ibrahim,Gamal, 2012. "Household-Level Credit Constraints in Urban Ethiopia," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 20(01), September.
    9. Jean-Paul Azam & Kartika Bhatia, 2017. "Provoking insurgency in a federal state: theory and application to India," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 183-210, March.
    10. Anna Piil Damm, 2009. "Ethnic Enclaves and Immigrant Labor Market Outcomes: Quasi-Experimental Evidence," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 27(2), pages 281-314, April.
    11. Holger Görg & Aoife Hanley & Eric Strobl, 2016. "Creating Backward Linkages from Multinationals: Is there a Role for Financial Incentives?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISES AND HOST COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT, chapter 14, pages 261-275, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Kirill S. Evdokimov & Ilze Kalnina & Andrei Zeleneev, 2023. "Marginal Effects for Probit and Tobit with Endogeneity," Papers 2306.14862, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2025.
    13. Mario D. Tello, 2020. "Political Economy Approach of Trade Barriers: The Case of Peruvian’s Trade Liberalization," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-486, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    14. Fortin, Nicole M., 1997. "L’impact des règles de prêts hypothécaires sur l’offre de travail des femmes au Canada : évidence paramétrique et non paramétrique," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 73(1), pages 129-159, mars-juin.
    15. Franz Hackl & Martin Halla & Gerald J. Pruckner, 2007. "Volunteering and Income – The Fallacy of the Good Samaritan?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 77-104, February.
    16. Ruprecht, Benedikt & Entrop, Oliver & Kick, Thomas & Wilkens, Marco, 2013. "Market timing, maturity mismatch, and risk management: Evidence from the banking industry," Discussion Papers 56/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    17. Jenny Williams, 2005. "Habit formation and college students' demand for alcohol," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 119-134, February.
    18. Gary Madden & Erik Bohlin & Thien Tran & Aaron Morey, 2014. "Spectrum Licensing, Policy Instruments and Market Entry," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 44(3), pages 277-298, May.
    19. Chesher, Andrew & Kim, Dongwoo & Rosen, Adam M., 2023. "IV methods for Tobit models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1700-1724.
    20. Sarantis Lolos & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2011. "Housing credit and female labour supply: assessing the evidence from Greece," Working Papers 141, Bank of Greece.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:azt:cemmap:04/24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dermot Watson (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifsssuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.