IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/avg/wpaper/en13206.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Developing Countries’ Macroeconomic Exposure to the Low-carbon Transition

Author

Listed:
  • Antoine GODIN
  • Guilherme MAGACHO
  • Achilleas MANTES
  • Devrim YILMAZ
  • Etienne ESPAGNE

Abstract

This paper aims at providing estimates of countries’ macroeconomic exposures to the low-carbon transition. We develop a method to evaluate countries’ external, fiscal and socio-economic exposure, and, considering their capacity to adapt their productive structure, we analyse countries’ vulnerabilities and risks in these different dimensions.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine GODIN & Guilherme MAGACHO & Achilleas MANTES & Devrim YILMAZ & Etienne ESPAGNE, 2021. "Developing Countries’ Macroeconomic Exposure to the Low-carbon Transition," Working Paper 987d9eb7-8fce-4eb0-8cb7-d, Agence française de développement.
  • Handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:en13206
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.afd.fr/sites/afd/files/2021-10-12-02-41/developing-countries-macroeconomics-low-carbon-transition.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Romero, João P. & Gramkow, Camila, 2021. "Economic complexity and greenhouse gas emissions," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Hartmann, Dominik & Guevara, Miguel R. & Jara-Figueroa, Cristian & Aristarán, Manuel & Hidalgo, César A., 2017. "Linking Economic Complexity, Institutions, and Income Inequality," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 75-93.
    3. Cahen-Fourot, Louison & Campiglio, Emanuele & Godin, Antoine & Kemp-Benedict, Eric & Trsek, Stefan, 2021. "Capital stranding cascades: The impact of decarbonisation on productive asset utilisation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    4. Romain Svartzman & Jeffrey Althouse, 2022. "Greening the international monetary system? Not without addressing the political ecology of global imbalances," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 844-869, May.
    5. Irene Monasterolo, 2020. "Climate Change and the Financial System," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 299-320, October.
    6. Grzegorz Peszko & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe & Alexander Golub & John Ward & Dimitri Zenghelis & Cor Marijs & Anne Schopp & John A. Rogers & Amelia Midgley, 2020. "Diversification and Cooperation in a Decarbonizing World," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 34011.
    7. Cahen-Fourot, Louison & Campiglio, Emanuele & Dawkins, Elena & Godin, Antoine & Kemp-Benedict, Eric, 2020. "Looking for the Inverted Pyramid: An Application Using Input-Output Networks," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    8. Nadia Ameli & Olivier Dessens & Matthew Winning & Jennifer Cronin & Hugues Chenet & Paul Drummond & Alvaro Calzadilla & Gabrial Anandarajah & Michael Grubb, 2021. "Higher cost of finance exacerbates a climate investment trap in developing economies," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Lapatinas, Athanasios & Garas, Antonios & Boleti, Eirini & Kyriakou, Alexandra, 2019. "Economic complexity and environmental performance: Evidence from a world sample," MPRA Paper 92833, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Peszko,Grzegorz & Van Der Mensbrugghe,Dominique & Golub,Alexander Alexandrovich, 2020. "Diversification and Cooperation Strategies in a Decarbonizing World," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9315, The World Bank.
    11. Manfred Lenzen & Daniel Moran & Keiichiro Kanemoto & Arne Geschke, 2013. "Building Eora: A Global Multi-Region Input-Output Database At High Country And Sector Resolution," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 20-49, March.
    12. John H. Cumberland, 1966. "A Regional Interindustry Model For Analysis Of Development Objectives," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 65-94, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guilherme Magacho & Etienne Espagne & Antoine Godin, 2024. "Impacts of the CBAM on EU trade partners: consequences for developing countries," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 243-259, February.
    2. Antoine GODIN & Alvaro MORENO & Diego GUEVARA & Jhan ANDRADE & Christos PIERROS & Devrim YILMAZ & Sebastian VALDECANTOS, 2022. "Thinking macroeconomic vulnerabilities in the context of low-carbon transition," Working Paper f033267a-4c36-4ee0-8e3b-7, Agence française de développement.
    3. Antoine Godin & Anda David & Oskar Lecuyer & Stéphanie Leyronas, 2022. "A strong sustainability approach to development trajectories," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 19(3), pages 381-396, December.
    4. S. V. Chepel’, 2022. "Investment, Technological, and Social Aspects in Modeling the Transition to Low-Carbon Development: The Case of Uzbekistan," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 571-581, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Magacho, Guilherme & Espagne, Etienne & Godin, Antoine & Mantes, Achilleas & Yilmaz, Devrim, 2023. "Macroeconomic exposure of developing economies to low-carbon transition," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    2. Diogo Ferraz & Fernanda P. S. Falguera & Enzo B. Mariano & Dominik Hartmann, 2021. "Linking Economic Complexity, Diversification, and Industrial Policy with Sustainable Development: A Structured Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-29, January.
    3. Balland, Pierre-Alexandre & Broekel, Tom & Diodato, Dario & Giuliani, Elisa & Hausmann, Ricardo & O'Clery, Neave & Rigby, David, 2022. "Reprint of The new paradigm of economic complexity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(8).
    4. Hidalgo, César A., 2023. "The policy implications of economic complexity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(9).
    5. Cesar A. Hidalgo, 2022. "Knowledge is non-fungible," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 2229, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Nov 2022.
    6. Oleksandr Dluhopolskyi & Volodymyr Martyniuk & Ihor Oleksiv & Grzegorz Gliszczynski, 2021. "How the Economic Complexity of a National Economy Affects the Environment," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 322-334.
    7. Antoine GODIN & Paul Hadji-Lazaro, 2020. "Demand-induced transition risks: A systemic approach applied to South Africa," Working Paper 1ec2dacf-58b9-4235-8d35-4, Agence française de développement.
    8. Rui Xue & KeYu Li & FeiFei Wang & Claude Baron, 2024. "Research Progress and Hot-spot Analysis of The Economic Complexity Research Based on CiteSpace," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10.
    9. C'esar A. Hidalgo, 2022. "Knowledge is non-fungible," Papers 2205.02167, arXiv.org.
    10. Saud, Shah & Haseeb, Abdul & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif & Li, Huiyun, 2023. "Articulating natural resource abundance, economic complexity, education and environmental sustainability in MENA countries: Evidence from advanced panel estimation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Balland, Pierre-Alexandre & Broekel, Tom & Diodato, Dario & Giuliani, Elisa & Hausmann, Ricardo & O'Clery, Neave & Rigby, David, 2022. "The new paradigm of economic complexity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(3).
    12. Gómez-Zaldívar, Manuel & Gómez-Zaldívar, Fernando & Carrillo Ramírez, José Luis, 2024. "Cálculo de los Índices de Complejidad en México: Propuesta para una estimación más periódica y robusta," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 59, pages 213-228.
    13. Gouriéroux, C. & Monfort, A. & Renne, J.-P., 2022. "Required Capital for Long-Run Risks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    14. Toma, Pierluigi & Stefanelli, Valeria, 2022. "What are the banks doing in managing climate risk? Empirical evidence from a position map," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    15. Gutiérrez-López, Cristina & Castro, Paula & Tascón, María T., 2022. "How can firms' transition to a low-carbon economy affect the distance to default?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. S'andor Juh'asz & Johannes Wachs & Jermain Kaminski & C'esar A. Hidalgo, 2024. "The Software Complexity of Nations," Papers 2407.13880, arXiv.org.
    17. Ashraf, Junaid, 2022. "Do political instability, financial instability and environmental degradation undermine growth? Evidence from belt and road initiative countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(6), pages 1113-1127.
    18. Andreas Breitenfellner & Mathias Lahnsteiner & Thomas Reininger & Jakob Schriefl, 2021. "Green transition: what have CESEE EU member states achieved so far?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/21, pages 61-76.
    19. Zauresh Atakhanova, 2021. "Kazakhstan’s oil boom, diversification strategies, and the service sector," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 34(3), pages 399-409, October.
    20. Hyoji Choi & Jonghyun Kim & Donghyeon Yu & Bogang Jun, 2024. "Population Concentration in High-Complexity Regions within City during the Heat Wave," Inha University IBER Working Paper Series 2024-3, Inha University, Institute of Business and Economic Research.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:en13206. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AFD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/afdgvfr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.