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Do Riskier Borrowers Borrow More?

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  • Abdullah Yavas

Abstract

This note studies how mortgage borrowers with different levels of default risk would self-select between different loan-to-value ratios. It shows that for large default costs there exists a separating equilibrium in which low-risk borrowers choose bigger loan amounts than high-risk borrowers. This equilibrium offers a theoretical explanation for the seemingly counter-intuitive empirical result of Campbell and Dietrich (1983) that loans with lower initial loan-to-value ratios have higher default rates. If default costs are small, then the separating equilibrium involves high-risk borrowers choosing a bigger loan amount than low risks. For an intermediate value of default costs, the unique equilibrium is a pooling equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdullah Yavas, 2001. "Do Riskier Borrowers Borrow More?," ERES eres2001_301, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2001_301
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    Cited by:

    1. Danny Ben-Shahar, 2006. "Screening Mortgage Default Risk: A Unified Theoretical Framework," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 28(3), pages 215-240.
    2. David Glancy & Robert Kurtzman & Lara Loewenstein & Joseph Nichols, 2023. "Recourse as shadow equity: Evidence from commercial real estate loans," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1108-1136, September.
    3. David Harrison & Michael Seiler, 2015. "The Paradox of Judicial Foreclosure: Collateral Value Uncertainty and Mortgage Rates," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 377-411, April.
    4. Ruben Cox & Dirk Brounen & Peter Neuteboom, 2015. "Financial Literacy, Risk Aversion and Choice of Mortgage Type by Households," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 74-112, January.
    5. Amy Cutts & Robert Order, 2004. "On the Economics of Subprime Lending," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 167-196, November.
    6. Jan K. Brueckner & Kangoh Lee, 2014. "Optimal Risk-Sharing in Mortgage Contracts: The Effects of Potential Prepayment and Default," CESifo Working Paper Series 4979, CESifo.
    7. Smith, Brent C, 2011. "Stability in consumer credit scores: Level and direction of FICO score drift as a precursor to mortgage default and prepayment," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 285-298.
    8. Moon, Byunggeor, 2018. "Housing investment, default risk, and expectations: Focusing on the chonsei market in Korea," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 80-90.
    9. Lanot, Gauthier & Leece, David, 2010. "The Performance of UK Securitized Subprime Mortgage Debt: ‘Idiosyncratic’ Behaviour or Mortgage Design?," MPRA Paper 27137, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Avanzini, Diego & Martı́nez, Juan Francisco & Pérez, Vı́ctor, 2020. "Assessing mortgage default risk in full-recourse economies, with an application to the case of Chile," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).
    11. Agata M. Lozinskaia & Evgeniy M. Ozhegov & Alexander M. Karminsky, 2016. "Discontinuity in Relative Credit Losses: Evidence from Defaults on Government-Insured Residential Mortgages," HSE Working papers WP BRP 55/FE/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    12. Austin Kelly, 2007. "Zero Down Payment Mortgage Default," FHFA Staff Working Papers 07-05, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
    13. Ishani Tewari, 2011. "Home Sweet Home: Financial Development and Homeownership," NFI Working Papers 2011-WP-10B, Indiana State University, Scott College of Business, Networks Financial Institute, revised Aug 2011.
    14. Hoon Cho & Brian Ciochetti & James Shilling, 2013. "Are Commercial Mortgage Defaults Affected by Tax Considerations?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 1-23, January.
    15. Souphala Chomsisengphet & Anthony Pennington-Cross, 2006. "Subprime refinancing: equity extraction and mortgage termination," Working Papers 2006-023, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    16. Gregory E. Elliehausen & Min Hwang, 2010. "Mortgage contract choice in subprime mortgage markets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-53, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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