IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/physics-0606213.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Self-organization of price fluctuation distribution in evolving markets

Author

Listed:
  • Raj Kumar Pan
  • Sitabhra Sinha

Abstract

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively different in emerging markets as compared to developed markets. Here we analyse both high-frequency tick-by-tick as well as daily closing price data to show that the price fluctuations in the Indian stock market, one of the largest emerging markets, have a distribution that is identical to that observed for developed markets (e.g., NYSE). In particular, the cumulative distribution has a long tail described by a power law with an exponent $\alpha \approx 3$. Also, we study the historical evolution of this distribution over the period of existence of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, which coincided with the rapid transformation of the Indian economy due to liberalization, and show that this power law tail has been present almost throughout. We conclude that the ``inverse cubic law'' is a truly universal feature of a financial market, independent of its stage of development or the condition of the underlying economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Raj Kumar Pan & Sitabhra Sinha, 2006. "Self-organization of price fluctuation distribution in evolving markets," Papers physics/0606213, arXiv.org, revised May 2007.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:physics/0606213
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/physics/0606213
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521819169 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tetsuya Takaishi, 2021. "Time-varying properties of asymmetric volatility and multifractality in Bitcoin," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(2), pages 1-21, February.
    2. Ouyang, F.Y. & Zheng, B. & Jiang, X.F., 2014. "Spatial and temporal structures of four financial markets in Greater China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 402(C), pages 236-244.
    3. T. T. Chen & B. Zheng & Y. Li & X. F. Jiang, 2017. "New approaches in agent-based modeling of complex financial systems," Papers 1703.06840, arXiv.org.
    4. Pan, Raj Kumar & Sinha, Sitabhra, 2008. "Inverse-cubic law of index fluctuation distribution in Indian markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(8), pages 2055-2065.
    5. Jiang, Xiong-Fei & Zheng, Bo & Ren, Fei & Qiu, Tian, 2017. "Localized motion in random matrix decomposition of complex financial systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 154-161.
    6. F. Y. Ouyang & B. Zheng & X. F. Jiang, 2014. "Spatial and temporal structures of four financial markets in Greater China," Papers 1402.1046, arXiv.org.
    7. Chakraborty, Abhijit & Easwaran, Soumya & Sinha, Sitabhra, 2018. "Deviations from universality in the fluctuation behavior of a heterogeneous complex system reveal intrinsic properties of components: The case of the international currency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 599-610.
    8. Tabak, B.M. & Takami, M.Y. & Cajueiro, D.O. & Petitinga, A., 2009. "Quantifying price fluctuations in the Brazilian stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(1), pages 59-62.
    9. Gu, Gao-Feng & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Empirical distributions of Chinese stock returns at different microscopic timescales," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(2), pages 495-502.
    10. Sitabhra Sinha & Uday Kovur, 2013. "Uncovering the network structure of the world currency market: Cross-correlations in the fluctuations of daily exchange rates," Papers 1305.0239, arXiv.org.
    11. Tetsuya Takaishi, 2021. "Time-varying properties of asymmetric volatility and multifractality in Bitcoin," Papers 2102.07425, arXiv.org.
    12. Peng Liu & Yanyan Zheng, 2022. "Precision measurement of the return distribution property of the Chinese stock market index," Papers 2209.08521, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:physics/0606213. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.