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An Empirical Approach toward the Interaction between Pension System and Demographic Dividend: Evidence of a Co-Integrated Socio-Economic Model of China

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  • Mostafa R. Sarkandiz

Abstract

The present study attempts to investigate the demographic dividend phenomenon in China. For this goal, a socio-economic approach has been used to analyze the topic from 1995 to 2019. In contrast to common belief, the outcomes revealed that China is still benefiting from a demographic dividend. However, due to the accelerated population aging trend and the increasing share of government expenditure on the public pension system, the window opportunity has yet to close. Furthermore, concerning the absolute value of estimated coefficients, the employment rate of young people in the age bundle of [15, 24] has the highest impact on decreasing government expenditure.

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  • Mostafa R. Sarkandiz, 2025. "An Empirical Approach toward the Interaction between Pension System and Demographic Dividend: Evidence of a Co-Integrated Socio-Economic Model of China," Papers 2501.12144, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2501.12144
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