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DSPO: An End-to-End Framework for Direct Sorted Portfolio Construction

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  • Jianyuan Zhong
  • Zhijian Xu
  • Saizhuo Wang
  • Xiangyu Wen
  • Jian Guo
  • Qiang Xu

Abstract

In quantitative investment, constructing characteristic-sorted portfolios is a crucial strategy for asset allocation. Traditional methods transform raw stock data of varying frequencies into predictive characteristic factors for asset sorting, often requiring extensive manual design and misalignment between prediction and optimization goals. To address these challenges, we introduce Direct Sorted Portfolio Optimization (DSPO), an innovative end-to-end framework that efficiently processes raw stock data to construct sorted portfolios directly. DSPO's neural network architecture seamlessly transitions stock data from input to output while effectively modeling the intra-dependency of time-steps and inter-dependency among all tradable stocks. Additionally, we incorporate a novel Monotonical Logistic Regression loss, which directly maximizes the likelihood of constructing optimal sorted portfolios. To the best of our knowledge, DSPO is the first method capable of handling market cross-sections with thousands of tradable stocks fully end-to-end from raw multi-frequency data. Empirical results demonstrate DSPO's effectiveness, yielding a RankIC of 10.12\% and an accumulated return of 121.94\% on the New York Stock Exchange in 2023-2024, and a RankIC of 9.11\% with a return of 108.74\% in other markets during 2021-2022.

Suggested Citation

  • Jianyuan Zhong & Zhijian Xu & Saizhuo Wang & Xiangyu Wen & Jian Guo & Qiang Xu, 2024. "DSPO: An End-to-End Framework for Direct Sorted Portfolio Construction," Papers 2405.15833, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2405.15833
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fuli Feng & Xiangnan He & Xiang Wang & Cheng Luo & Yiqun Liu & Tat-Seng Chua, 2018. "Temporal Relational Ranking for Stock Prediction," Papers 1809.09441, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2019.
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    3. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Ernst Schaumburg, 2020. "Characteristic-Sorted Portfolios: Estimation and Inference," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(3), pages 531-551, July.
    4. Svetlana Borovkova & Ioannis Tsiamas, 2019. "An ensemble of LSTM neural networks for high‐frequency stock market classification," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 600-619, September.
    5. Fischer, Thomas & Krauss, Christopher, 2018. "Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(2), pages 654-669.
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