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Implementing Evidence Acquisition: Time Dependence in Contracts for Advice

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  • Yingkai Li
  • Jonathan Libgober

Abstract

An expert with no inherent interest in an unknown binary state can exert effort to acquire a piece of falsifiable evidence informative of it. A designer can incentivize learning using a mechanism that provides state-dependent rewards within fixed bounds. We show that eliciting a single report maximizes information acquisition if the evidence is revealing or its content predictable. This conclusion fails when the evidence is sufficiently imprecise, the failure to find it is informative, and its contents could support either state. Our findings shed light on incentive design for consultation and forecasting by showing how learning dynamics qualitatively shape effort-maximizing contracts.

Suggested Citation

  • Yingkai Li & Jonathan Libgober, 2023. "Implementing Evidence Acquisition: Time Dependence in Contracts for Advice," Papers 2310.19147, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2310.19147
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    References listed on IDEAS

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