IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2304.12501.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The cross-sectional stock return predictions via quantum neural network and tensor network

Author

Listed:
  • Nozomu Kobayashi
  • Yoshiyuki Suimon
  • Koichi Miyamoto
  • Kosuke Mitarai

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the application of quantum and quantum-inspired machine learning algorithms to stock return predictions. Specifically, we evaluate the performance of quantum neural network, an algorithm suited for noisy intermediate-scale quantum computers, and tensor network, a quantum-inspired machine learning algorithm, against classical models such as linear regression and neural networks. To evaluate their abilities, we construct portfolios based on their predictions and measure investment performances. The empirical study on the Japanese stock market shows the tensor network model achieves superior performance compared to classical benchmark models, including linear and neural network models. Though the quantum neural network model attains a lowered risk-adjusted excess return than the classical neural network models over the whole period, both the quantum neural network and tensor network models have superior performances in the latest market environment, which suggests the capability of the model's capturing non-linearity between input features.

Suggested Citation

  • Nozomu Kobayashi & Yoshiyuki Suimon & Koichi Miyamoto & Kosuke Mitarai, 2023. "The cross-sectional stock return predictions via quantum neural network and tensor network," Papers 2304.12501, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.12501
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.12501
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wei Bao & Jun Yue & Yulei Rao, 2017. "A deep learning framework for financial time series using stacked autoencoders and long-short term memory," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-24, July.
    2. Shihao Gu & Bryan Kelly & Dacheng Xiu, 2020. "Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 2223-2273.
    3. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    4. Daniel Poh & Bryan Lim & Stefan Zohren & Stephen Roberts, 2021. "Enhancing Cross-Sectional Currency Strategies by Context-Aware Learning to Rank with Self-Attention," Papers 2105.10019, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    5. Gu, Shihao & Kelly, Bryan & Xiu, Dacheng, 2021. "Autoencoder asset pricing models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 429-450.
    6. Saejoon Kim, 2019. "Enhancing the momentum strategy through deep regression," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 1121-1133, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Daniel Poh & Bryan Lim & Stefan Zohren & Stephen Roberts, 2021. "Enhancing Cross-Sectional Currency Strategies by Context-Aware Learning to Rank with Self-Attention," Papers 2105.10019, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    2. Ko, Hyungjin & Son, Bumho & Lee, Jaewook, 2024. "A novel integration of the Fama–French and Black–Litterman models to enhance portfolio management," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. De Nard, Gianluca & Zhao, Zhao, 2023. "Using, taming or avoiding the factor zoo? A double-shrinkage estimator for covariance matrices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 23-35.
    4. Kieran Wood & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2021. "Slow Momentum with Fast Reversion: A Trading Strategy Using Deep Learning and Changepoint Detection," Papers 2105.13727, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
    5. Jozef Barunik & Martin Hronec & Ondrej Tobek, 2024. "Predicting the distributions of stock returns around the globe in the era of big data and learning," Papers 2408.07497, arXiv.org.
    6. Bakalli, Gaetan & Guerrier, Stéphane & Scaillet, Olivier, 2023. "A penalized two-pass regression to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    7. Eghbal Rahimikia & Stefan Zohren & Ser-Huang Poon, 2021. "Realised Volatility Forecasting: Machine Learning via Financial Word Embedding," Papers 2108.00480, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    8. Chen, Andrew Y. & McCoy, Jack, 2024. "Missing values handling for machine learning portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    9. Adebayo Oshingbesan & Eniola Ajiboye & Peruth Kamashazi & Timothy Mbaka, 2022. "Model-Free Reinforcement Learning for Asset Allocation," Papers 2209.10458, arXiv.org.
    10. Clarke, Charles, 2022. "The level, slope, and curve factor model for stocks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 159-187.
    11. Taewook Kim & Ha Young Kim, 2019. "Forecasting stock prices with a feature fusion LSTM-CNN model using different representations of the same data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(2), pages 1-23, February.
    12. Andrew Y. Chen & Jack McCoy, 2022. "Missing Values Handling for Machine Learning Portfolios," Papers 2207.13071, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    13. Zhao, Albert Bo & Cheng, Tingting, 2022. "Stock return prediction: Stacking a variety of models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 288-317.
    14. Chulwoo Han, 2022. "Bimodal Characteristic Returns and Predictability Enhancement via Machine Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(10), pages 7701-7741, October.
    15. Doron Avramov & Si Cheng & Lior Metzker, 2023. "Machine Learning vs. Economic Restrictions: Evidence from Stock Return Predictability," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 2587-2619, May.
    16. Uddin, Ajim & Tao, Xinyuan & Yu, Dantong, 2023. "Attention based dynamic graph neural network for asset pricing," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    17. Xiao, Xiang & Hua, Xia & Qin, Kexin, 2024. "A self-attention based cross-sectional return forecasting model with evidence from the Chinese market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    18. Flori, Andrea & Regoli, Daniele, 2021. "Revealing Pairs-trading opportunities with long short-term memory networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(2), pages 772-791.
    19. Daniel Poh & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2022. "Transfer Ranking in Finance: Applications to Cross-Sectional Momentum with Data Scarcity," Papers 2208.09968, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    20. Guillaume Chevalier & Guillaume Coqueret & Thomas Raffinot, 2022. "Supervised portfolios," Post-Print hal-04144588, HAL.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.12501. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.