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Spatio-Temporal Momentum: Jointly Learning Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Strategies

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  • Wee Ling Tan
  • Stephen Roberts
  • Stefan Zohren

Abstract

We introduce Spatio-Temporal Momentum strategies, a class of models that unify both time-series and cross-sectional momentum strategies by trading assets based on their cross-sectional momentum features over time. While both time-series and cross-sectional momentum strategies are designed to systematically capture momentum risk premia, these strategies are regarded as distinct implementations and do not consider the concurrent relationship and predictability between temporal and cross-sectional momentum features of different assets. We model spatio-temporal momentum with neural networks of varying complexities and demonstrate that a simple neural network with only a single fully connected layer learns to simultaneously generate trading signals for all assets in a portfolio by incorporating both their time-series and cross-sectional momentum features. Backtesting on portfolios of 46 actively-traded US equities and 12 equity index futures contracts, we demonstrate that the model is able to retain its performance over benchmarks in the presence of high transaction costs of up to 5-10 basis points. In particular, we find that the model when coupled with least absolute shrinkage and turnover regularization results in the best performance over various transaction cost scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Wee Ling Tan & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Momentum: Jointly Learning Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Strategies," Papers 2302.10175, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2302.10175
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
    2. Daniel Poh & Bryan Lim & Stefan Zohren & Stephen Roberts, 2021. "Enhancing Cross-Sectional Currency Strategies by Context-Aware Learning to Rank with Self-Attention," Papers 2105.10019, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    3. Bi, Jian-Wu & Li, Hui & Fan, Zhi-Ping, 2021. "Tourism demand forecasting with time series imaging: A deep learning model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    4. Kim, Abby Y. & Tse, Yiuman & Wald, John K., 2016. "Time series momentum and volatility scaling," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 103-124.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tom Liu & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2023. "Deep Inception Networks: A General End-to-End Framework for Multi-asset Quantitative Strategies," Papers 2307.05522, arXiv.org.
    2. Xingyue Pu & Stefan Zohren & Stephen Roberts & Xiaowen Dong, 2023. "Learning to Learn Financial Networks for Optimising Momentum Strategies," Papers 2308.12212, arXiv.org.
    3. Wee Ling Tan & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2024. "Deep Learning for Options Trading: An End-To-End Approach," Papers 2407.21791, arXiv.org.
    4. Xingyue Pu & Stephen Roberts & Xiaowen Dong & Stefan Zohren, 2023. "Network Momentum across Asset Classes," Papers 2308.11294, arXiv.org.

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