IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2205.15738.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Estimating spot volatility under infinite variation jumps with dependent market microstructure noise

Author

Listed:
  • Qiang Liu
  • Zhi Liu

Abstract

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods have been proposed to deal with this problem. When the jumps are intensive with infinite variation, the efficient estimation of spot volatility under serially dependent noise is not available and is thus in need. For this purpose, we propose a novel estimator of spot volatility with a hybrid use of the pre-averaging technique and the empirical characteristic function. Under mild assumptions, the results of consistency and asymptotic normality of our estimator are established. Furthermore, we show that our estimator achieves an almost efficient convergence rate with optimal variance when the jumps are either less active or active with symmetric structure. Simulation studies verify our theoretical conclusions. We apply our proposed estimator to empirical analyses, such as estimating the weekly volatility curve using second-by-second transaction price data.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiang Liu & Zhi Liu, 2022. "Estimating spot volatility under infinite variation jumps with dependent market microstructure noise," Papers 2205.15738, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2205.15738
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2205.15738
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
    2. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
    3. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2004. "Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1-37.
    4. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(2), pages 253-280, May.
    5. Christensen, Kim & Hounyo, Ulrich & Podolskij, Mark, 2018. "Is the diurnal pattern sufficient to explain intraday variation in volatility? A nonparametric assessment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(2), pages 336-362.
    6. Fan, Jianqing & Wang, Yazhen, 2007. "Multi-Scale Jump and Volatility Analysis for High-Frequency Financial Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 1349-1362, December.
    7. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    8. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Designing Realized Kernels to Measure the ex post Variation of Equity Prices in the Presence of Noise," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1481-1536, November.
    9. Andersen, Torben G & Bollerslev, Tim, 1998. "Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 885-905, November.
    10. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jean Jacod, 2014. "High-Frequency Financial Econometrics," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10261.
    11. Christian Brownlees & Eulalia Nualart & Yucheng Sun, 2020. "On the estimation of integrated volatility in the presence of jumps and microstructure noise," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(10), pages 991-1013, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023. "The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
    2. Li, Yingying & Liu, Guangying & Zhang, Zhiyuan, 2022. "Volatility of volatility: Estimation and tests based on noisy high frequency data with jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 422-451.
    3. Baruník, Jozef & Hlínková, Michaela, 2016. "Revisiting the long memory dynamics of the implied–realized volatility relationship: New evidence from the wavelet regression," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 503-514.
    4. Christensen, K. & Podolskij, M. & Thamrongrat, N. & Veliyev, B., 2017. "Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 245-272.
    5. Qiang Liu & Zhi Liu & Chuanhai Zhang, 2020. "Heteroscedasticity test of high-frequency data with jumps and microstructure noise," Papers 2010.07659, arXiv.org.
    6. Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan, 2016. "Between data cleaning and inference: Pre-averaging and robust estimators of the efficient price," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 242-262.
    7. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2017-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    8. Wang, Fangfang, 2014. "Optimal design of Fourier estimator in the presence of microstructure noise," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 708-722.
    9. Liu, Lily Y. & Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin, 2015. "Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 293-311.
    10. Bollerslev, Tim & Kretschmer, Uta & Pigorsch, Christian & Tauchen, George, 2009. "A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 151-166, June.
    11. Kim, Jihyun & Meddahi, Nour, 2020. "Volatility regressions with fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 690-713.
    12. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2013. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1127-1220, Elsevier.
    13. Bibinger, Markus & Mykland, Per A., 2013. "Inference for multi-dimensional high-frequency data: Equivalence of methods, central limit theorems, and an application to conditional independence testing," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-006, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    14. Ruijun Bu & Degui Li & Oliver Linton & Hanchao Wang, 2022. "Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data," Working Papers 202212, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    15. Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kjær, Mads Markvart & Veliyev, Bezirgen, 2023. "The incremental information in the yield curve about future interest rate risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    16. Chun Liu & John M. Maheu, 2009. "Forecasting realized volatility: a Bayesian model-averaging approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(5), pages 709-733.
    17. Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2016. "Exploiting the errors: A simple approach for improved volatility forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 1-18.
    18. Jacod, Jean & Li, Yingying & Mykland, Per A. & Podolskij, Mark & Vetter, Mathias, 2009. "Microstructure noise in the continuous case: The pre-averaging approach," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(7), pages 2249-2276, July.
    19. Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2014. "Realized volatility models and alternative Value-at-Risk prediction strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 101-116.
    20. Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Frederiksen, Per, 2008. "Finite sample accuracy and choice of sampling frequency in integrated volatility estimation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 265-286, March.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2205.15738. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.