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Short-time asymptotics for non self-similar stochastic volatility models

Author

Listed:
  • Giacomo Giorgio
  • Barbara Pacchiarotti
  • Paolo Pigato

Abstract

We provide a short-time large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic volatility models, where the volatility is expressed as a function of a Volterra process. This LDP does not require strict self-similarity assumptions on the Volterra process. For this reason, we are able to apply such an LDP to two notable examples of non self-similar rough volatility models: models where the volatility is given as a function of a log-modulated fractional Brownian motion [Bayer et al., Log-modulated rough stochastic volatility models. SIAM J. Financ. Math, 2021, 12(3), 1257-1284], and models where it is given as a function of a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (fOU) process [Gatheral et al., Volatility is rough. Quant. Finance, 2018, 18(6), 933-949]. In both cases we derive consequences for short-maturity European option prices, implied volatility surfaces and implied volatility skew. In the fOU case we also discuss moderate deviations pricing and simulation results.

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  • Giacomo Giorgio & Barbara Pacchiarotti & Paolo Pigato, 2022. "Short-time asymptotics for non self-similar stochastic volatility models," Papers 2204.10103, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2204.10103
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Archil Gulisashvili, 2017. "Large deviation principle for Volterra type fractional stochastic volatility models," Papers 1710.10711, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    2. Antoine Jacquier & Mikko S. Pakkanen & Henry Stone, 2017. "Pathwise large deviations for the Rough Bergomi model," Papers 1706.05291, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    3. Peter K. Friz & Paul Gassiat & Paolo Pigato, 2022. "Short-dated smile under rough volatility: asymptotics and numerics," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 463-480, March.
    4. Florian Bourgey & Stefano De Marco & Peter K. Friz & Paolo Pigato, 2023. "Local volatility under rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(4), pages 1119-1145, October.
    5. Christian Bayer & Fabian Andsem Harang & Paolo Pigato, 2020. "Log-modulated rough stochastic volatility models," Papers 2008.03204, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    6. Paolo Pigato, 2019. "Extreme at-the-money skew in a local volatility model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 827-859, October.
    7. Jacquier, Antoine & Pannier, Alexandre, 2022. "Large and moderate deviations for stochastic Volterra systems," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 142-187.
    8. Antoine Jacquier & Alexandre Pannier, 2020. "Large and moderate deviations for stochastic Volterra systems," Papers 2004.10571, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
    9. Alexey Medvedev & Olivier Scaillet, 2007. "Approximation and Calibration of Short-Term Implied Volatilities Under Jump-Diffusion Stochastic Volatility," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(2), pages 427-459.
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    11. C. Bayer & P. K. Friz & A. Gulisashvili & B. Horvath & B. Stemper, 2019. "Short-time near-the-money skew in rough fractional volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 779-798, May.
    12. Christian Bayer & Peter K. Friz & Paul Gassiat & Jorg Martin & Benjamin Stemper, 2020. "A regularity structure for rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 782-832, July.
    13. Archil Gulisashvili, 2022. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models and Large Deviation Principles," Papers 2203.09015, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    14. Masaaki Fukasawa, 2020. "Volatility has to be rough," Papers 2002.09215, arXiv.org.
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    19. Gulisashvili, Archil, 2020. "Gaussian stochastic volatility models: Scaling regimes, large deviations, and moment explosions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(6), pages 3648-3686.
    20. Gulisashvili, Archil, 2021. "Time-inhomogeneous Gaussian stochastic volatility models: Large deviations and super roughness," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 37-79.
    21. Pierre Henry-Labordere, 2019. "From (Martingale) Schrodinger bridges to a new class of Stochastic Volatility Models," Working Papers hal-02090807, HAL.
    22. Omar El Euch & Masaaki Fukasawa & Jim Gatheral & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Short-term at-the-money asymptotics under stochastic volatility models," Papers 1801.08675, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    23. Kun Gao & Roger Lee, 2014. "Asymptotics of implied volatility to arbitrary order," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 349-392, April.
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    25. Pierre Henry-Labordere, 2019. "From (Martingale) Schrodinger bridges to a new class of Stochastic Volatility Models," Papers 1904.04554, arXiv.org.
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    1. Ranieri Dugo & Giacomo Giorgio & Paolo Pigato, 2024. "The Multivariate Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process," CEIS Research Paper 581, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 28 Aug 2024.

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