IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2202.12548.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Policy choices and outcomes for offshore wind auctions globally

Author

Listed:
  • Malte Jansen
  • Philipp Beiter
  • Iegor Riepin
  • Felix Muesgens
  • Victor Juarez Guajardo-Fajardo
  • Iain Staffell
  • Bernard Bulder
  • Lena Kitzing

Abstract

Offshore wind energy is rapidly expanding, facilitated largely through auctions run by governments. We provide a detailed quantified overview of applied auction schemes, including geographical spread, volumes, results, and design specifications. Our comprehensive global dataset reveals heterogeneous designs. Although most remuneration designs provide some form of revenue stabilisation, their specific instrument choices vary and include feed-in tariffs, one-sided and two-sided contracts for difference, mandated power purchase agreements, and mandated renewable energy certificates. We review the schemes used in all eight major offshore wind jurisdictions across Europe, Asia, and North America and evaluate bids in their jurisdictional context. We analyse cost competitiveness, likelihood of timely construction, occurrence of strategic bidding, and identify jurisdictional aspects that might have influenced auction results. We find that auctions are embedded within their respective regulatory and market design context, and are remarkably diverse, though with regional similarities. Auctions in each jurisdiction have evolved and tend to become more exposed to market price risks over time. Less mature markets are more prone to make use of lower-risk designs. Still, some form of revenue stabilisation is employed for all auctioned offshore wind energy farms analysed here, regardless of the specific policy choices. Our data confirm a coincidence of declining costs and growing diffusion of auction regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Malte Jansen & Philipp Beiter & Iegor Riepin & Felix Muesgens & Victor Juarez Guajardo-Fajardo & Iain Staffell & Bernard Bulder & Lena Kitzing, 2022. "Policy choices and outcomes for offshore wind auctions globally," Papers 2202.12548, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2202.12548
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2202.12548
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Klessmann, Corinna & Nabe, Christian & Burges, Karsten, 2008. "Pros and cons of exposing renewables to electricity market risks--A comparison of the market integration approaches in Germany, Spain, and the UK," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 3646-3661, October.
    2. Wei, Youzhou & Zou, Qing-Ping & Lin, Xianghong, 2021. "Evolution of price policy for offshore wind energy in China: Trilemma of capacity, price and subsidy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Welisch, Marijke & Poudineh, Rahmatallah, 2020. "Auctions for allocation of offshore wind contracts for difference in the UK," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 1266-1274.
    4. deCastro, M. & Salvador, S. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Costoya, X. & Carvalho, D. & Sanz-Larruga, F.J. & Gimeno, L., 2019. "Europe, China and the United States: Three different approaches to the development of offshore wind energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 55-70.
    5. Luiz T. A. Maurer & Luiz A. Barroso, 2011. "Electricity Auctions : An Overview of Efficient Practices," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2346.
    6. Malte Jansen & Iain Staffell & Lena Kitzing & Sylvain Quoilin & Edwin Wiggelinkhuizen & Bernard Bulder & Iegor Riepin & Felix Müsgens, 2020. "Offshore wind competitiveness in mature markets without subsidy," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 614-622, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Simshauser, Paul, 2024. "On static vs. dynamic line ratings in renewable energy zones," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    2. Ghorbani Pashakolaie, Vahid & Cotton, Matthew & Jansen, Malte, 2024. "The co-benefits of offshore wind under the UK Renewable Obligation scheme: Integrating sustainability in energy policy evaluation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    3. Zhang, H. & Pollitt, M., 2023. "Comparison of policy instruments in the development process of offshore wind power in North Sea countries," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2365, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Xinyu Li & Marco Haan & Sander Onderstal & Jasper Veldman, 2023. "A Wind Tunnel Test of Wind Farm Auctions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-046/VII, Tinbergen Institute.
    5. Jansen, Malte & Gross, Rob & Staffell, Iain, 2024. "Quantitative evidence for modelling electric vehicles," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    6. Malleret, Simon & Jansen, Malte & Laido, Ahti Simo & Kitzing, Lena, 2024. "Profitability dynamics of offshore wind from auction to investment decision," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    7. Hastings-Simon, Sara & Leach, Andrew & Shaffer, Blake & Weis, Tim, 2022. "Alberta's Renewable Electricity Program: Design, results, and lessons learned," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    8. Hughes, Llewelyn & Longden, Thomas, 2024. "Offshore wind power in the Asia-Pacific: Expert elicitation on costs and policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    9. Tiedemann, Silvana & Müller-Hansen, Finn, 2023. "Auctions to phase out coal power: Lessons learned from Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    10. Ehrhart, Karl-Martin & Ott, Marion & Seifert, Stefan & Wang, Runxi, 2024. "Combinatorial auctions for renewable energy — potentials and challenges," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    11. Sara C. Pryor & Rebecca J. Barthelmie, 2024. "Power Production, Inter- and Intra-Array Wake Losses from the U.S. East Coast Offshore Wind Energy Lease Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-30, February.
    12. Schlecht, Ingmar & Maurer, Christoph & Hirth, Lion, 2024. "Financial contracts for differences: The problems with conventional CfDs in electricity markets and how forward contracts can help solve them," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    13. Boadu, Solomon & Otoo, Ebenezer, 2024. "A comprehensive review on wind energy in Africa: Challenges, benefits and recommendations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    14. Antonio C. C. Perrelli & Eduardo A. Sodré & André V. R. N. Silva & Caarem D. S. Studzinski & Vinícius F. Silva & Dalton F. G. Filho & Armando T. Neto & Alex A. B. Santos, 2024. "Optimizing Price Markup: The Impact of Power Purchase Agreements and Energy Production Uncertainty on the Economic Performance of Onshore and Offshore Wind Farms," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(5), pages 211-219, September.
    15. Batz Liñeiro, Taimyra & Müsgens, Felix, 2023. "Evaluating the German onshore wind auction programme: An analysis based on individual bids," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pryor, Sara C. & Barthelmie, Rebecca J., 2024. "Wind shadows impact planning of large offshore wind farms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 359(C).
    2. Li, Mingxin & Jiang, Xiaoli & Carroll, James & Negenborn, Rudy R., 2022. "A multi-objective maintenance strategy optimization framework for offshore wind farms considering uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    3. del Río, Pablo & Kiefer, Christoph P., 2023. "Academic research on renewable electricity auctions: Taking stock and looking forward," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    4. Sheykhha, Siamak & Borggrefe, Frieder & Madlener, Reinhard, 2022. "Policy implications of spatially differentiated renewable energy promotion: A multi-level scenario analysis of onshore wind auctioning in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    5. Malleret, Simon & Jansen, Malte & Laido, Ahti Simo & Kitzing, Lena, 2024. "Profitability dynamics of offshore wind from auction to investment decision," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    6. Rebecca J. Barthelmie & Kaitlyn E. Dantuono & Emma J. Renner & Frederick L. Letson & Sara C. Pryor, 2021. "Extreme Wind and Waves in U.S. East Coast Offshore Wind Energy Lease Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-25, February.
    7. Hughes, Llewelyn & Longden, Thomas, 2024. "Offshore wind power in the Asia-Pacific: Expert elicitation on costs and policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    8. Johnston, Barry & Foley, Aoife & Doran, John & Littler, Timothy, 2020. "Levelised cost of energy, A challenge for offshore wind," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 876-885.
    9. Mac Clay, Pablo & Börner, Jan & Sellare, Jorge, 2023. "Institutional and macroeconomic stability mediate the effect of auctions on renewable energy capacity," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    10. Vithayasrichareon, Peerapat & MacGill, Iain F., 2013. "Assessing the value of wind generation in future carbon constrained electricity industries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 400-412.
    11. Pandžić, Hrvoje & Kuzle, Igor & Capuder, Tomislav, 2013. "Virtual power plant mid-term dispatch optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 134-141.
    12. Shahmohammadi, Ali & Sioshansi, Ramteen & Conejo, Antonio J. & Afsharnia, Saeed, 2018. "Market equilibria and interactions between strategic generation, wind, and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 876-892.
    13. Paul Koutstaal & Michiel Bijlsma & Gijsbert Zwart & X. van Tilburg, 2009. "Market performance and distributional effects on renewable energy markets," CPB Document 190.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    14. Hiroux, C. & Saguan, M., 2010. "Large-scale wind power in European electricity markets: Time for revisiting support schemes and market designs?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3135-3145, July.
    15. Emblemsvåg, Jan, 2022. "Wind energy is not sustainable when balanced by fossil energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    16. Liu, Weiwei & Song, Yifan & Bi, Kexin, 2021. "Exploring the patent collaboration network of China's wind energy industry: A study based on patent data from CNIPA," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    17. Goodarzi, Shadi & Perera, H. Niles & Bunn, Derek, 2019. "The impact of renewable energy forecast errors on imbalance volumes and electricity spot prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    18. Ayman Al-Quraan & Bashar Al-Mhairat, 2022. "Intelligent Optimized Wind Turbine Cost Analysis for Different Wind Sites in Jordan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-24, March.
    19. Zhao, Qin & Zhang, Houcheng & Hu, Ziyang & Hou, Shujin, 2021. "Performance evaluation of a new hybrid system consisting of a photovoltaic module and an absorption heat transformer for electricity production and heat upgrading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    20. Hong, Sanghyun & Kim, Eunsung & Jeong, Saerok, 2023. "Evaluating the sustainability of the hydrogen economy using multi-criteria decision-making analysis in Korea," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 485-492.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2202.12548. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.