IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2111.00274.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Polynomial Approximation of Discounted Moments

Author

Listed:
  • Chenyu Zhao
  • Misha van Beek
  • Peter Spreij
  • Makhtar Ba

Abstract

We introduce an approximation strategy for the discounted moments of a stochastic process that can, for a large class of problems, approximate the true moments. These moments appear in pricing formulas of financial products such as bonds and credit derivatives. The approximation relies on high-order power series expansion of the infinitesimal generator, and draws parallels with the theory of polynomial processes. We demonstrate applications to bond pricing and credit derivatives. In the special cases that allow for an analytical solution the approximation error decreases to around 10 to 100 times machine precision for higher orders. When no analytical solution exists we tie out the approximation with Monte Carlo simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Chenyu Zhao & Misha van Beek & Peter Spreij & Makhtar Ba, 2021. "Polynomial Approximation of Discounted Moments," Papers 2111.00274, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2111.00274
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2111.00274
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hao Zhou, 2003. "Itô Conditional Moment Generator and the Estimation of Short-Rate Processes," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(2), pages 250-271.
    2. Christa Cuchiero & Martin Keller-Ressel & Josef Teichmann, 2012. "Polynomial processes and their applications to mathematical finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 711-740, October.
    3. Robert A. Jarrow & David Lando & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2008. "A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 18, pages 411-453, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Keiichi Tanaka & Takeshi Yamada & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2010. "Applications of Gram-Charlier expansion and bond moments for pricing of interest rates and credit risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 645-662.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Damir Filipovi'c & Martin Larsson, 2017. "Polynomial Jump-Diffusion Models," Papers 1711.08043, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    2. Larsson, Martin & Pulido, Sergio, 2017. "Polynomial diffusions on compact quadric sets," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(3), pages 901-926.
    3. Hlouskova, Jaroslava & Sögner, Leopold, 2020. "GMM estimation of affine term structure models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 2-15.
    4. repec:uts:finphd:41 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Damir Filipovic & Martin Larsson & Tony Ware, 2017. "Polynomial processes for power prices," Papers 1710.10293, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2018.
    6. Damir Filipovi'c & Martin Larsson & Sergio Pulido, 2017. "Markov cubature rules for polynomial processes," Papers 1707.06849, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    7. Filipović, Damir & Larsson, Martin & Pulido, Sergio, 2020. "Markov cubature rules for polynomial processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(4), pages 1947-1971.
    8. Fred Espen Benth & Silvia Lavagnini, 2019. "Correlators of Polynomial Processes," Papers 1906.11320, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    9. Damir Filipović & Martin Larsson, 2016. "Polynomial diffusions and applications in finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 931-972, October.
    10. Ammann, Manuel & Kind, Axel & Wilde, Christian, 2003. "Are convertible bonds underpriced? An analysis of the French market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 635-653, April.
    11. Christa Cuchiero, 2017. "Polynomial processes in stochastic portfolio theory," Papers 1705.03647, arXiv.org.
    12. Van Landschoot, Astrid, 2004. "Determinants of euro term structure of credit spreads," Working Paper Series 397, European Central Bank.
    13. Giampaolo Gabbi & Andrea Sironi, 2005. "Which factors affect corporate bonds pricing? Empirical evidence from eurobonds primary market spreads," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 59-74.
    14. Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka & Emanuele Taufer & György H. Terdik, 2021. "Asymptotic theory for statistics based on cumulant vectors with applications," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(2), pages 708-728, June.
    15. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742.
    16. Hong-Ming Yin & Jin Liang & Yuan Wu, 2018. "On a New Corporate Bond Pricing Model with Potential Credit Rating Change and Stochastic Interest Rate," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-12, December.
    17. Christa Cuchiero & Martin Larsson & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2018. "Probability measure-valued polynomial diffusions," Papers 1807.03229, arXiv.org.
    18. Ciprian Necula & Gabriel Drimus & Walter Farkas, 2019. "A general closed form option pricing formula," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-40, April.
    19. Cumby, Robert E. & Pastine, Tuvana, 2001. "Emerging market debt: measuring credit quality and examining relative pricing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 591-609, October.
    20. Chava, Sudheer & Jarrow, Robert, 2008. "Modeling loan commitments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 11-20, March.
    21. Augusto Castillo, 2004. "Firm and Corporate Bond Valuation: A Simulation Dynamic Programming Approach," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 41(124), pages 345-360.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2111.00274. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.