IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2104.13669.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Optimal Stopping via Randomized Neural Networks

Author

Listed:
  • Calypso Herrera
  • Florian Krach
  • Pierre Ruyssen
  • Josef Teichmann

Abstract

This paper presents the benefits of using randomized neural networks instead of standard basis functions or deep neural networks to approximate the solutions of optimal stopping problems. The key idea is to use neural networks, where the parameters of the hidden layers are generated randomly and only the last layer is trained, in order to approximate the continuation value. Our approaches are applicable to high dimensional problems where the existing approaches become increasingly impractical. In addition, since our approaches can be optimized using simple linear regression, they are easy to implement and theoretical guarantees can be provided. We test our approaches for American option pricing on Black--Scholes, Heston and rough Heston models and for optimally stopping a fractional Brownian motion. In all cases, our algorithms outperform the state-of-the-art and other relevant machine learning approaches in terms of computation time while achieving comparable results. Moreover, we show that they can also be used to efficiently compute Greeks of American options.

Suggested Citation

  • Calypso Herrera & Florian Krach & Pierre Ruyssen & Josef Teichmann, 2021. "Optimal Stopping via Randomized Neural Networks," Papers 2104.13669, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2104.13669
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2104.13669
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 113-147.
    2. Carriere, Jacques F., 1996. "Valuation of the early-exercise price for options using simulations and nonparametric regression," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 19-30, December.
    3. Garcia, Diego, 2003. "Convergence and Biases of Monte Carlo estimates of American option prices using a parametric exercise rule," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(10), pages 1855-1879, August.
    4. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    5. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Omar El Euch, 2019. "Multi-factor approximation of rough volatility models," Post-Print hal-01697117, HAL.
    6. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4273 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Hamza Hanbali & Daniel Linders, 2019. "American-type basket option pricing: a simple two-dimensional partial differential equation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(10), pages 1689-1704, October.
    8. Calypso Herrera & Florian Krach & Josef Teichmann, 2020. "Local Lipschitz Bounds of Deep Neural Networks," Papers 2004.13135, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    9. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    10. Giulia Livieri & Saad Mouti & Andrea Pallavicini & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Rough volatility: Evidence from option prices," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(9), pages 767-776, September.
    11. Sebastian Becker & Patrick Cheridito & Arnulf Jentzen, 2020. "Pricing and Hedging American-Style Options with Deep Learning," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-12, July.
    12. Martin B. Haugh & Leonid Kogan, 2004. "Pricing American Options: A Duality Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(2), pages 258-270, April.
    13. Sebastian Becker & Patrick Cheridito & Arnulf Jentzen, 2019. "Pricing and hedging American-style options with deep learning," Papers 1912.11060, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
    14. Barraquand, Jérôme & Martineau, Didier, 1995. "Numerical Valuation of High Dimensional Multivariate American Securities," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(3), pages 383-405, September.
    15. Christian Bayer & Peter Friz & Jim Gatheral, 2016. "Pricing under rough volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 887-904, June.
    16. Boyle, Phelim P. & Kolkiewicz, Adam W. & Tan, Ken Seng, 2003. "An improved simulation method for pricing high-dimensional American derivatives," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 62(3), pages 315-322.
    17. Jèôme Barraquand, 1995. "Numerical Valuation of High Dimensional Multivariate European Securities," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(12), pages 1882-1891, December.
    18. L. C. G. Rogers, 2002. "Monte Carlo valuation of American options," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(3), pages 271-286, July.
    19. Omar Euch & Masaaki Fukasawa & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "The microstructural foundations of leverage effect and rough volatility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 241-280, April.
    20. Vlad Bally & Gilles Pagès & Jacques Printems, 2005. "A Quantization Tree Method For Pricing And Hedging Multidimensional American Options," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 119-168, January.
    21. Jain, Shashi & Oosterlee, Cornelis W., 2015. "The Stochastic Grid Bundling Method: Efficient pricing of Bermudan options and their Greeks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 269(C), pages 412-431.
    22. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt43n1k4jb, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhengqing Zhou & Guanyang Wang & Jose Blanchet & Peter W. Glynn, 2021. "Unbiased Optimal Stopping via the MUSE," Papers 2106.02263, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    2. Xuwei Yang & Anastasis Kratsios & Florian Krach & Matheus Grasselli & Aurelien Lucchi, 2023. "Regret-Optimal Federated Transfer Learning for Kernel Regression with Applications in American Option Pricing," Papers 2309.04557, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    3. Beatrice Acciaio & Anastasis Kratsios & Gudmund Pammer, 2022. "Designing Universal Causal Deep Learning Models: The Geometric (Hyper)Transformer," Papers 2201.13094, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ivan Guo & Nicolas Langren'e & Jiahao Wu, 2023. "Simultaneous upper and lower bounds of American-style option prices with hedging via neural networks," Papers 2302.12439, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    2. Sebastian Becker & Patrick Cheridito & Arnulf Jentzen, 2020. "Pricing and Hedging American-Style Options with Deep Learning," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-12, July.
    3. Lukas Gonon, 2022. "Deep neural network expressivity for optimal stopping problems," Papers 2210.10443, arXiv.org.
    4. Jain, Shashi & Oosterlee, Cornelis W., 2015. "The Stochastic Grid Bundling Method: Efficient pricing of Bermudan options and their Greeks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 269(C), pages 412-431.
    5. Jin, Xing & Yang, Cheng-Yu, 2016. "Efficient estimation of lower and upper bounds for pricing higher-dimensional American arithmetic average options by approximating their payoff functions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 65-77.
    6. Mark Broadie & Jerome B. Detemple, 2004. "ANNIVERSARY ARTICLE: Option Pricing: Valuation Models and Applications," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1145-1177, September.
    7. Ammann, Manuel & Kind, Axel & Wilde, Christian, 2008. "Simulation-based pricing of convertible bonds," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 310-331, March.
    8. Jin, Xing & Li, Xun & Tan, Hwee Huat & Wu, Zhenyu, 2013. "A computationally efficient state-space partitioning approach to pricing high-dimensional American options via dimension reduction," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 362-370.
    9. Burcu Aydoğan & Ümit Aksoy & Ömür Uğur, 2018. "On the methods of pricing American options: case study," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 260(1), pages 79-94, January.
    10. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Zúñiga, 2021. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Working Papers hal-03178306, HAL.
    11. Wei, Wei & Zhu, Dan, 2022. "Generic improvements to least squares monte carlo methods with applications to optimal stopping problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(3), pages 1132-1144.
    12. Axel Kind, 2005. "Pricing American-Style Options By Simulation," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 19(1), pages 109-116, June.
    13. Chen Liu & Henry Schellhorn & Qidi Peng, 2019. "American Option Pricing With Regression: Convergence Analysis," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(08), pages 1-31, December.
    14. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Zúñiga, 2022. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Post-Print hal-03178306, HAL.
    15. Leif Andersen & Mark Broadie, 2004. "Primal-Dual Simulation Algorithm for Pricing Multidimensional American Options," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1222-1234, September.
    16. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Z'u~niga, 2021. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Papers 2103.11734, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    17. Sebastian Becker & Patrick Cheridito & Arnulf Jentzen & Timo Welti, 2019. "Solving high-dimensional optimal stopping problems using deep learning," Papers 1908.01602, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    18. Ravi Kashyap, 2022. "Options as Silver Bullets: Valuation of Term Loans, Inventory Management, Emissions Trading and Insurance Risk Mitigation using Option Theory," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 315(2), pages 1175-1215, August.
    19. R. Mark Reesor & T. James Marshall, 2020. "Forest of Stochastic Trees: A Method for Valuing Multiple Exercise Options," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-31, May.
    20. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2006-051 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Denis Belomestny & Grigori Milstein & Vladimir Spokoiny, 2009. "Regression methods in pricing American and Bermudan options using consumption processes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 315-327.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2104.13669. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.