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A bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process with stochastic delay: efficient simulations and applications to energy markets

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  • Matteo Gardini
  • Piergiacomo Sabino
  • Emanuela Sasso

Abstract

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme that relies on the mathematical connection between self-decomposable Inverse Gaussian laws and L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with Inverse Gaussian stationary distribution. We show that our approach provides an improvement to the existing simulation scheme detailed in Zhang and Zhang [23] because it does not rely on an acceptance-rejection method. Eventually, these results are applied to the modelling of energy markets and to the pricing of spread options using the proposed Monte Carlo scheme and Fourier techniques

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  • Matteo Gardini & Piergiacomo Sabino & Emanuela Sasso, 2020. "A bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process with stochastic delay: efficient simulations and applications to energy markets," Papers 2011.04256, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.04256
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shibin Zhang & Xinsheng Zhang, 2008. "Exact Simulation of IG-OU Processes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 337-355, September.
    2. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2020. "Exact Simulation of Variance Gamma related OU processes: Application to the Pricing of Energy Derivatives," Papers 2004.06786, arXiv.org.
    3. Taufer, Emanuele & Leonenko, Nikolai, 2009. "Simulation of Lvy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with given marginal distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2427-2437, April.
    4. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    5. T. Pellegrino & P. Sabino, 2015. "Enhancing Least Squares Monte Carlo with diffusion bridges: an application to energy facilities," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 761-772, May.
    6. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2020. "Exact Simulation of Variance Gamma-Related OU Processes: Application to the Pricing of Energy Derivatives," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 207-227, May.
    7. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2020. "Forward or backward simulation? A comparative study," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(7), pages 1213-1226, July.
    8. T. R. Hurd & Zhuowei Zhou, 2009. "A Fourier transform method for spread option pricing," Papers 0902.3643, arXiv.org.
    9. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Non‐Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck‐based models and some of their uses in financial economics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(2), pages 167-241.
    10. Patrizia Semeraro, 2008. "A Multivariate Variance Gamma Model For Financial Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(01), pages 1-18.
    11. Madan, Dilip B & Seneta, Eugene, 1990. "The Variance Gamma (V.G.) Model for Share Market Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(4), pages 511-524, October.
    12. Matteo Gardini & Piergiacomo Sabino & Emanuela Sasso, 2020. "Correlating L\'evy processes with Self-Decomposability: Applications to Energy Markets," Papers 2004.04048, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
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    Cited by:

    1. M. Gardini & P. Sabino & E. Sasso, 2021. "The Variance Gamma++ Process and Applications to Energy Markets," Papers 2106.15452, arXiv.org.
    2. Deschatre, Thomas & Féron, Olivier & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    3. Thomas Deschatre & Olivier F'eron & Pierre Gruet, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Papers 2103.16918, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    4. Nicola Cufaro Petroni & Piergiacomo Sabino, 2020. "Tempered stable distributions and finite variation Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes," Papers 2011.09147, arXiv.org.
    5. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2021. "Pricing Energy Derivatives in Markets Driven by Tempered Stable and CGMY Processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type," Papers 2103.13252, arXiv.org.
    6. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2021. "Normal Tempered Stable Processes and the Pricing of Energy Derivatives," Papers 2105.03071, arXiv.org.

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