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Concave Shape of the Yield Curve and No Arbitrage

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  • Jian Sun

Abstract

In fixed income sector, the yield curve is probably the most observed indicator by the market for trading and fifinancing purposes. A yield curve plots interest rates across different contract maturities from short end to as long as 30 years. For each currency, the corresponding curve shows the relation between the level of the interest rates (or cost of borrowing) and the time to maturity. For example, the U.S. dollar interest rates paid on U.S. Treasury securities for various maturities are plotted as the US treasury curve. For the same currency, if the swap market is used, we could also plot the swap rates across the tenors which would be called the swap curve.Even the yield curve can be at, upward or downward (inverted), however, yield curve is generally concave. There is a lack of explanation of the concavity of the yield curve shape from economics theory. We offer in this article an explanation of the concavity shape of the yield curve from trading perspectives.

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  • Jian Sun, 2018. "Concave Shape of the Yield Curve and No Arbitrage," Papers 1808.03481, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1808.03481
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter Carr & Jian Sun, 2007. "A new approach for option pricing under stochastic volatility," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 87-150, May.
    2. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
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