IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1710.10692.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Research on ruin probability of risk model based on AR(1) series

Author

Listed:
  • Wenhao Li
  • Bolong Wang
  • Tianxiang Shen
  • Ronghua Zhu
  • Dehui Wang

Abstract

In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton iteration method to figure out the adjustment coefficient and estimate the exponential upper bound of ruin probability. This is significant to refine the research of ruin theory. As a result, our theory will help develop insurance industry stably.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenhao Li & Bolong Wang & Tianxiang Shen & Ronghua Zhu & Dehui Wang, 2017. "Research on ruin probability of risk model based on AR(1) series," Papers 1710.10692, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1710.10692
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1710.10692
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Albrecher, Hansjorg & Boxma, Onno J., 2004. "A ruin model with dependence between claim sizes and claim intervals," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 245-254, October.
    2. Gao, Qi-bing & Wu, Yao-hua & Zhu, Chun-hua & Wei, Guang-hua, 2007. "Ruin problems in risk models with dependent rates of interest," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(8), pages 761-768, April.
    3. Fu, Ke-Ang & Ng, Cheuk Yin Andrew, 2014. "Asymptotics for the ruin probability of a time-dependent renewal risk model with geometric Lévy process investment returns and dominatedly-varying-tailed claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 80-87.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dutang, C. & Lefèvre, C. & Loisel, S., 2013. "On an asymptotic rule A+B/u for ultimate ruin probabilities under dependence by mixing," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 774-785.
    2. Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2017. "On compound sums under dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 228-234.
    3. Asimit, Alexandru V. & Jones, Bruce L., 2008. "Dependence and the asymptotic behavior of large claims reinsurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 407-411, December.
    4. Shi, Yafeng & Liu, Peng & Zhang, Chunsheng, 2013. "On the compound Poisson risk model with dependence and a threshold dividend strategy," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(9), pages 1998-2006.
    5. Corina Constantinescu & Suhang Dai & Weihong Ni & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2016. "Ruin Probabilities with Dependence on the Number of Claims within a Fixed Time Window," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-23, June.
    6. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-00746251 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Fouad Marri & Franck Adékambi & Khouzeima Moutanabbir, 2018. "Moments of Compound Renewal Sums with Dependent Risks Using Mixing Exponential Models," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-17, August.
    8. He Liu & Zhenhua Bao, 2015. "On a Discrete Interaction Risk Model with Delayed Claims," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-14, September.
    9. Caroline Hillairet & Ying Jiao & Anthony Réveillac, 2018. "Pricing formulae for derivatives in insurance using the Malliavin calculus ," Post-Print hal-01561987, HAL.
    10. Arthur Charpentier, 2010. "Reinsurance, ruin and solvency issues: some pitfalls," Working Papers hal-00463381, HAL.
    11. Florin Avram & Romain Biard & Christophe Dutang & Stéphane Loisel & Landy Rabehasaina, 2014. "A survey of some recent results on Risk Theory," Post-Print hal-01616178, HAL.
    12. Daniel J. Geiger & Akim Adekpedjou, 2022. "Analysis of IBNR Liabilities with Interevent Times Depending on Claim Counts," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 815-829, June.
    13. Zhimin Zhang & Hailiang Yang & Hu Yang, 2012. "On a Sparre Andersen Risk Model with Time-Dependent Claim Sizes and Jump-Diffusion Perturbation," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 973-995, December.
    14. Albrecher, Hansjorg & Boxma, Onno J., 2005. "On the discounted penalty function in a Markov-dependent risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 650-672, December.
    15. Swishchuk, Anatoliy & Zagst, Rudi & Zeller, Gabriela, 2021. "Hawkes processes in insurance: Risk model, application to empirical data and optimal investment," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PA), pages 107-124.
    16. Meng, Qingbin & Zhang, Xin & Guo, Junyi, 2008. "On a risk model with dependence between claim sizes and claim intervals," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(13), pages 1727-1734, September.
    17. Landriault, David, 2008. "Constant dividend barrier in a risk model with interclaim-dependent claim sizes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 31-38, February.
    18. Caroline Hillairet & Ying Jiao & Anthony Réveillac, 2017. "Pricing formulae for derivatives in insurance using the Malliavin calculus ," Working Papers hal-01561987, HAL.
    19. Hélène Cossette & Etienne Marceau & Fouad Marri, 2011. "Constant Dividend Barrier in a Risk Model with a Generalized Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern Copula," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 487-510, September.
    20. Muhsin Tamturk & Dominic Cortis & Mark Farrell, 2020. "Examining the Effects of Gradual Catastrophes on Capital Modelling and the Solvency of Insurers: The Case of COVID-19," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-13, December.
    21. Liu, Yang & Chen, Zhenlong & Fu, Ke-Ang, 2021. "Asymptotics for a time-dependent renewal risk model with subexponential main claims and delayed claims," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1710.10692. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.