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Pricing Variance Swaps on Time-Changed Markov Processes

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  • Peter Carr
  • Roger Lee
  • Matthew Lorig

Abstract

We prove that the variance swap rate (fair strike) equals the price of a co-terminal European-style contract when the underlying is an exponential Markov process, time-changed by an arbitrary continuous stochastic clock, which has arbitrary correlation with the driving Markov process, provided that the payoff function $G$ of the European contract satisfies an ordinary integro-differential equation, which depends only on the dynamics of the Markov process, not on the clock. We present examples of Markov processes where the function $G$ that prices the variance swap can be computed explicitly. In general, the solutions $G$ are not contained in the logarithmic family previously obtained in the special case where the Markov process is a L\'evy process.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Carr & Roger Lee & Matthew Lorig, 2017. "Pricing Variance Swaps on Time-Changed Markov Processes," Papers 1705.01069, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1705.01069
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Antoine Jacquier & Matthew Lorig, 2012. "The Smile of certain L\'evy-type Models," Papers 1207.1630, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
    2. Andrey Itkin & Peter Carr, 2010. "Pricing swaps and options on quadratic variation under stochastic time change models—discrete observations case," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 141-176, July.
    3. Andrey Itkin & Peter Carr, 2012. "Using Pseudo-Parabolic and Fractional Equations for Option Pricing in Jump Diffusion Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 40(1), pages 63-104, June.
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