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The short-term price impact of trades is universal

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  • Bence Toth
  • Zoltan Eisler
  • Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Abstract

We analyze a proprietary dataset of trades by a single asset manager, comparing their price impact with that of the trades of the rest of the market. In the context of a linear propagator model we find no significant difference between the two, suggesting that both the magnitude and time dependence of impact are universal in anonymous, electronic markets. This result is important as optimal execution policies often rely on propagators calibrated on anonymous data. We also find evidence that in the wake of a trade the order flow of other market participants first adds further copy-cat trades enhancing price impact on very short time scales. The induced order flow then quickly inverts, thereby contributing to impact decay.

Suggested Citation

  • Bence Toth & Zoltan Eisler & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2017. "The short-term price impact of trades is universal," Papers 1702.08029, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1702.08029
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hasbrouck, Joel, 1991. "Measuring the Information Content of Stock Trades," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 179-207, March.
    2. B. Tóth & Z. Eisler & F. Lillo & J. Kockelkoren & J.-P. Bouchaud & J.D. Farmer, 2012. "How does the market react to your order flow?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 1015-1024, May.
    3. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Yuval Gefen & Marc Potters & Matthieu Wyart, 2004. "Fluctuations and response in financial markets: the subtle nature of 'random' price changes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 176-190.
    4. Lillo Fabrizio & Farmer J. Doyne, 2004. "The Long Memory of the Efficient Market," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(3), pages 1-35, September.
    5. Tóth, Bence & Palit, Imon & Lillo, Fabrizio & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2015. "Why is equity order flow so persistent?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 218-239.
    6. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Julien Kockelkoren & Marc Potters, 2006. "Random walks, liquidity molasses and critical response in financial markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 115-123.
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