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Covariance of random stock prices in the Stochastic Dividend Discount Model

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  • Arianna Agosto
  • Alessandra Mainini
  • Enrico Moretto

Abstract

Dividend discount models have been developed in a deterministic setting. Some authors (Hurley and Johnson, 1994 and 1998; Yao, 1997) have introduced randomness in terms of stochastic growth rates, delivering closed-form expressions for the expected value of stock prices. This paper extends such previous results by determining a formula for the covariance between random stock prices when the dividends' rates of growth are correlated. The formula is eventually applied to real market data.

Suggested Citation

  • Arianna Agosto & Alessandra Mainini & Enrico Moretto, 2016. "Covariance of random stock prices in the Stochastic Dividend Discount Model," Papers 1609.03029, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2017.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1609.03029
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arianna Agosto & Enrico Moretto, 2015. "Variance matters (in stochastic dividend discount models)," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 283-295, May.
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