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Calculating Variable Annuity Liability 'Greeks' Using Monte Carlo Simulation

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  • Mark J. Cathcart
  • Steven Morrison
  • Alexander J. McNeil

Abstract

Hedging methods to mitigate the exposure of variable annuity products to market risks require the calculation of market risk sensitivities (or "Greeks"). The complex, path-dependent nature of these products means these sensitivities typically must be estimated by Monte Carlo simulation. Standard market practice is to measure such sensitivities using a "bump and revalue" method. As well as requiring multiple valuations, such approaches can be unreliable for higher order Greeks, e.g., gamma. In this article we investigate alternative estimators implemented within an advanced economic scenario generator model, incorporating stochastic interest-rates and stochastic equity volatility. The estimators can also be easily generalized to work with the addition of equity jumps in this model.

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  • Mark J. Cathcart & Steven Morrison & Alexander J. McNeil, 2011. "Calculating Variable Annuity Liability 'Greeks' Using Monte Carlo Simulation," Papers 1110.4516, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1110.4516
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    3. Rajan Suri & Michael A. Zazanis, 1988. "Perturbation Analysis Gives Strongly Consistent Sensitivity Estimates for the M/G/1 Queue," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 39-64, January.
    4. Martin I. Reiman & Alan Weiss, 1989. "Sensitivity Analysis for Simulations via Likelihood Ratios," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 37(5), pages 830-844, October.
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