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Is there a bubble in LinkedIn's stock price?

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  • Robert Jarrow
  • Younes Kchia
  • Philip Protter

Abstract

Recent academic work has developed a method to determine, in real time, if a given stock is exhibiting a price bubble. Currently there is speculation in the financial press concerning the existence of a price bubble in the aftermath of the recent IPO of LinkedIn. We analyze stock price tick data from the short lifetime of this stock through May 24, 2011, and we find that LinkedIn has a price bubble.

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  • Robert Jarrow & Younes Kchia & Philip Protter, 2011. "Is there a bubble in LinkedIn's stock price?," Papers 1105.5717, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1105.5717
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    1. Robert A. Jarrow, 2015. "Asset Price Bubbles," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 201-218, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Karolien Lenaerts & Miroslav Beblavý & Brian Fabo, 2016. "Prospects for utilisation of non-vacancy Internet data in labour market analysis—an overview," IZA Journal of Labor Economics, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, December.
    2. Francesca Biagini & Lukas Gonon & Andrea Mazzon & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2022. "Detecting asset price bubbles using deep learning," Papers 2210.01726, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    3. Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, William T., 2014. "Does the bond-stock earning yield differential model predict equity market corrections better than high P/E models?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 59290, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Robert A. Jarrow, 2015. "Asset Price Bubbles," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 201-218, December.
    5. Günster, N.K. & Kole, H.J.W.G. & Jacobsen, B., 2009. "Riding Bubbles," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2009-058-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    6. Petteri Piiroinen & Lassi Roininen & Martin Simon, 2019. "Brexit Risk Implied by the SABR Martingale Defect in the EUR-GBP Smile," Papers 1912.05773, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    7. Robert A. Jarrow & Simon S. Kwok, 2021. "Inferring financial bubbles from option data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1013-1046, November.
    8. Antoine Jacquier & Martin Keller-Ressel, 2015. "Implied volatility in strict local martingale models," Papers 1508.04351, arXiv.org.
    9. Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, William, 2017. "A tale of two indexes: predicting equity market downturns in China," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 85131, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Jarrow, Robert & Protter, Philip, 2012. "Discrete versus continuous time models: Local martingales and singular processes in asset pricing theory," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 58-62.
    11. Paolo Guasoni & Miklós Rásonyi, 2015. "Fragility of arbitrage and bubbles in local martingale diffusion models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 215-231, April.
    12. Sébastien Lleo & William T. Ziemba, 2017. "Does the bond‐stock earnings yield differential model predict equity market corrections better than high P/E models?," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(2), pages 61-123, May.
    13. Chaim, Pedro & Laurini, Márcio P., 2019. "Is Bitcoin a bubble?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 222-232.
    14. Petteri Piiroinen & Lassi Roininen & Tobias Schoden & Martin Simon, 2018. "Asset Price Bubbles: An Option-based Indicator," Papers 1805.07403, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.

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