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Asymptotics of the probability minimizing a "down-side" risk

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  • Hiroaki Hata
  • Hideo Nagai
  • Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

Abstract

We consider a long-term optimal investment problem where an investor tries to minimize the probability of falling below a target growth rate. From a mathematical viewpoint, this is a large deviation control problem. This problem will be shown to relate to a risk-sensitive stochastic control problem for a sufficiently large time horizon. Indeed, in our theorem we state a duality in the relation between the above two problems. Furthermore, under a multidimensional linear Gaussian model we obtain explicit solutions for the primal problem.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiroaki Hata & Hideo Nagai & Shuenn-Jyi Sheu, 2010. "Asymptotics of the probability minimizing a "down-side" risk," Papers 1001.2131, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1001.2131
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael Stutzer, 2011. "Portfolio choice with endogenous utility: a large deviations approach," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & Edward O Thorp & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE KELLY CAPITAL GROWTH INVESTMENT CRITERION THEORY and PRACTICE, chapter 43, pages 619-640, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Rongju Zhang & Nicolas Langrené & Yu Tian & Zili Zhu & Fima Klebaner & Kais Hamza, 2019. "Skewed target range strategy for multiperiod portfolio optimization using a two-stage least squares Monte Carlo method," Post-Print hal-02909342, HAL.
    2. Rongju Zhang & Nicolas Langren'e & Yu Tian & Zili Zhu & Fima Klebaner & Kais Hamza, 2017. "Skewed target range strategy for multiperiod portfolio optimization using a two-stage least squares Monte Carlo method," Papers 1704.00416, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    3. Tadashi Hayashi & Jun Sekine, 2011. "Risk-sensitive Portfolio Optimization with Two-factor Having a Memory Effect," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 18(4), pages 385-403, November.
    4. Anatolii A. Puhalskii & Michael Jay Stutzer, 2016. "On minimising a portfolio's shortfall probability," Papers 1602.02192, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    5. Ichihara, Naoyuki, 2012. "Large time asymptotic problems for optimal stochastic control with superlinear cost," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(4), pages 1248-1275.
    6. Hiroaki Hata, 2011. "“Down-Side Risk” Probability Minimization Problem with Cox-Ingersoll-Ross’s Interest Rates," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 18(1), pages 69-87, March.
    7. Huyen Pham, 2014. "Long time asymptotics for optimal investment," Papers 1408.6455, arXiv.org.
    8. Huyen Pham, 2014. "Long time asymptotics for optimal investment," Working Papers hal-01058657, HAL.
    9. Hideo Nagai, 2011. "Asymptotics of the probability of minimizing 'down-side' risk under partial information," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(5), pages 789-803.
    10. Watanabe, Yûsuke, 2013. "Asymptotic analysis for a downside risk minimization problem under partial information," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 1046-1082.

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