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An Examination of Circadian Impacts on Judgments

Author

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  • David L. Dickinson
  • Andrew R. Smith
  • Robert McClelland

Abstract

Many people suffer from insufficient sleep and the adverse effects of sleep deprivation or chronic sleep restriction are well documented. Relatedly, recent research has shown that people’s judgments and decisions can be affected by circadian timing. We contributed to this literature by examining time-of-day impact on people’s judgments about hypothetical legal scenarios, hypothesizing that participants responding at a suboptimal time of day (3-5 AM) would give higher guilt ratings and be less sensitive to case information (e.g., evidence strength) than participants responding at a more optimal time of day (2-4 PM). Despite the fact that the time-of-day manipulation successfully influenced participants’ self-reported alertness levels, the time-of-day did not affect guilt judgments or sensitivity to case information. Exploratory analyses found that chronic daytime sleepiness coupled with suboptimal time-of-day impacted participants’ judgments. This adds to the broader literature on how extraneous factors may impact probability assessments, and these results suggest that circadian timing might differentially affect people depending on other contributing factors. Key Words: Sleep deprivation; Circadian mismatch; Judgments; Bayesian choice

Suggested Citation

  • David L. Dickinson & Andrew R. Smith & Robert McClelland, 2019. "An Examination of Circadian Impacts on Judgments," Working Papers 19-11, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
  • Handle: RePEc:apl:wpaper:19-11
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    File URL: http://econ.appstate.edu/RePEc/pdf/wp1911.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David L. Dickinson & John C. Whitehead, 2015. "Dubious And Dubiouser: Contingent Valuation And The Time Of Day," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 53(2), pages 1396-1400, April.
    2. McElroy, Todd & Dickinson, David L., 2010. "Thoughtful days and valenced nights: How much will you think about the problem?," Judgment and Decision Making, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(7), pages 516-523, December.
    3. Marco Castillo & David L. Dickinson & Ragan Petrie, 2017. "Sleepiness, choice consistency, and risk preferences," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 82(1), pages 41-73, January.
    4. repec:cup:judgdm:v:5:y:2010:i:7:p:516-523 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. David Dickinson & Todd McElroy, 2012. "Circadian effects on strategic reasoning," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 15(3), pages 444-459, September.
    6. David L. Dickinson & Ananish Chaudhuri & Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy, 2017. "Trading while sleepy? Circadian mismatch and excess volatility in a global experimental asset market," Working Papers 17-06, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
    7. Dickinson, David L. & McElroy, Todd, 2017. "Sleep restriction and circadian effects on social decisions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 57-71.
    8. repec:cup:judgdm:v:3:y:2008:i::p:181-190 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. McElroy, Todd & Dickinson, David L., 2010. "Thoughtful days and valenced nights: How much will you think about the problem?," Judgment and Decision Making, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(7), pages 516-523, December.
    10. Dickinson, David L. & McElroy, Todd, 2010. "Rationality around the clock: Sleep and time-of-day effects on guessing game responses," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 245-248, August.
    11. Dickinson, David L. & Drummond, Sean P. A., 2008. "The effects of total sleep deprivation on bayesian updating," Judgment and Decision Making, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(2), pages 181-190, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

    sleep deprivation; circadian mismatch; judgments; bayesian choice;
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