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Effects of the rural credit subsidy on economic growth and welfare of Brazilian regions

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  • Cardoso, Debora Freire
  • Teixeira, Erly Cardoso
  • Gurgel, Angelo Costa
  • Castro, Eduardo Rodrigues de

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to evaluate the impact of government spending with the Interest Rates Equalization (IRE) policy on the economic growth of Brazilian regions. Additionally, it aims to measure the opportunity cost of the subsidy in relation to an alternative application in the transportation sector. The model, database, and software from the General Equilibrium Analysis Project of the Brazilian Economy (PAEG) are applied to the simulations. The result shows that the IRE policy provides economic growth in the Midwestern, Northeastern and Southern regions above the cost of the policy. Besides, in the Northern and Southeastern regions, there is a decrease in the GDP. For Brazil, the policy is cost-effective and offers a 34% rate of return. Furthermore, all regions benefit in terms of welfare. For the country, in terms of GDP or welfare, spending on the IRE has negative alternative rate of return when applied to the transportation sector. The IRE policy is efficient and contributes to reduce regional disparities.

Suggested Citation

  • Cardoso, Debora Freire & Teixeira, Erly Cardoso & Gurgel, Angelo Costa & Castro, Eduardo Rodrigues de, 2011. "Effects of the rural credit subsidy on economic growth and welfare of Brazilian regions," Working Papers in Applied Economics 114464, Universidade Federal de Vicosa, Departamento de Economia Rural.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ufvdwp:114464
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.114464
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arnold C. Harberger, 1962. "The Incidence of the Corporation Income Tax," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 70(3), pages 215-215.
    2. Henning Tarp Jensen & Sherman Robinson & Finn Tarp, 2010. "Measuring Agricultural Policy Bias: General Equilibrium Analysis of Fifteen Developing Countries," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(4), pages 1136-1148.
    3. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Otávio De Freitas & Felipe De Figueiredo Silva & Mateus De Carvalho Reis Neves & Marcelo José Braga, 2018. "Technical Assistance Support Effect On Brazilian Agricultural Performance," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 188, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Pinto, Talita & Teixeira, Erly & Gurgel, Angelo, 2015. "Mobility Of Primary Factors and its Effects on Economic Growth and Welfare Generated by Rural Credit in Brazilian Regions," Conference papers 332646, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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    Agricultural and Food Policy;

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