IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/uerssr/278020.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A Simple Forecasting Model Linking Macroeconomic Policy To Industrial Employment Demand

Author

Listed:
  • Malley, James R.
  • Hady, Thomas F.

Abstract

Simulation through a model linking monetary and fiscal policy to industrial employment in metro and nonmetro areas of four U.S. regions suggests that changes in monetary and fiscal policy have significantly different effects in different parts of the country. The magnitude of the employment impact on nonmetro areas depends on assumptions about industrial composition and worker compensation.

Suggested Citation

  • Malley, James R. & Hady, Thomas F., 1988. "A Simple Forecasting Model Linking Macroeconomic Policy To Industrial Employment Demand," Staff Reports 278020, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:uerssr:278020
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.278020
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/278020/files/ers-report-345.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.278020?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hali J. Edison & Jaime R. Marquez & Ralph W. Tryon, 1986. "The structure and properties of the FRB multicountry model.Part I: Model description and simulation results," International Finance Discussion Papers 293, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. F. P. R. Brechling, 1965. "The Relationship between Output and Employment in British Manufacturing Industries," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 32(3), pages 187-216.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hamrick, Karen S., 1991. "Macroeconomic Impacts on Nonmetro Unemployment: Preliminary Research," Staff Reports 278579, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rabeau, Yves, 1976. "La prévision de l’emploi dans le modèle de l’IRIC," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 52(2), pages 149-168, avril.
    2. Revoredo-Giha, Cesar & Leat, Philip M.K. & Renwick, Alan W., 2012. "The relationship between output and unemployment in Scotland: A regional analysis," Working Papers 131465, Scotland's Rural College (formerly Scottish Agricultural College), Land Economy & Environment Research Group.
    3. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1950 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Dietz, Martin & Stops, Michael & Walwei, Ulrich, 2012. "Securing Jobs in Times of Recession. The German Experience during the Financial Crisis 2008/2009/Asegurando los puestos de trabajo en tiempos de recesión. La experiencia alemana durante la crisis fina," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 30, pages 59-100, Abril.
    5. Riefers, Rudolf, 1969. "Kurzfristige Beschäftigungsfunktionen : ein Literaturüberblick," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 2(9), pages 698-712.
    6. Wolfgang Pollan, 1980. "Wage rigidity and the structure of the Austrian manufacturing industry," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 116(4), pages 697-728, December.
    7. Bernanke, Ben S, 1986. "Employment, Hours, and Earnings in the Depression: An Analysis of EightManufacturing Industries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 82-109, March.
    8. Simon Cueva & Éric Heyer, 1997. "Fonction de production et degrés d'utilisation du capital et du travail : une analyse économétrique," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 131(5), pages 93-111.
    9. Thomas Moutos & William Scarth, 2000. "Work-Sharing: an Efficiency-Wage Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 386, CESifo.
    10. Ben S. Bernanke & James Powell, 1986. "The Cyclical Behavior of Industrial Labor Markets: A Comparison of the Prewar and Postwar Eras," NBER Chapters, in: The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change, pages 583-638, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Agnès Bénassy & Henri Sterdyniak, 1992. "La détermination des taux de change dans les modèles multinationaux : l'état de l'art," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 104(3), pages 39-71.
    12. repec:eee:labchp:v:2:y:1986:i:c:p:789-848 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Afşin Şahin & Aysit Tansel & M. Hakan Berument, 2015. "Output–Employment Relationship Across Sectors: A Long- Versus Short-Run Perspective," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 265-288, July.
    14. Griliches, Zvi & Hausman, Jerry A., 1986. "Errors in variables in panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 93-118, February.
    15. Simon Cueva & Eric Heyer & Dominique Taddéi, 1998. "Fondements microéconomiques de la durée du travail et politiques de réduction," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 64(1), pages 69-95.
    16. Namazie, Ceema Zahra, 2003. "Why labour hoarding may be rational: a model of firm behaviour during transition," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6361, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Ceema Zahra Namazie, 2003. "Why Labour Hoarding may be Rational: A model of firm behaviour during transition," CASE Papers 069, Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion, LSE.
    18. Robert Dixon & David Shepherd, 2010. "Models of labour services and estimates of total factor productivity," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(28), pages 3629-3634.
    19. Ceema Zahra Namazie, 2003. "Why Labour Hoarding may be Rational: A model of firm behaviour during transition," CASE Papers case69, Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion, LSE.
    20. Pål Boug, 1999. "The Demand for Labour and the Lucas Critique. Evidence from Norwegian Manufacturing," Discussion Papers 256, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    21. Meller, Patrício, 1980. "Enfoques sobre demanda de trabalho: relevância para a América Latina," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 34(1), January.
    22. Wolfgang W. Franz, 1971. "A Theoretical Model of the Employment Impacts of Defense Contracts and Private Orders, with Empirical Applications to the Aircraft Industry," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 15(1), pages 23-37, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:uerssr:278020. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ersgvus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.