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Nafta And Agriculture: An Early Assessment

Author

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  • de Janvry, Alain
  • Sadoulet, Elisabeth

Abstract

While the effects of NAFTA will not be known for quite sometime, an early appraisal can be made (1) using an econometric decomposition of trade patterns with and without the agreement and (2) assessing NAFTA as a learning process. Results show that the Agreement helped increase Mexican imports from the U.S. when Mexican incomes were rising and helped prevent a further fall in imports when incomes were falling. As a learning process, the most promising aspect of the Agreement is reliance on tri-national civil society as the warrant of implementation of the clauses of the agreement and of each country's labor and environmental laws. This is inducing the active participation of a thickening web of corporatist and non-governmental organizations that cut across national boundaries. Political sustainability of the Agreement requires to deal not only with the transitory poverty created by economic adjustments, but also with the deeper problem of social exclusion from the benefits of globalization.

Suggested Citation

  • de Janvry, Alain & Sadoulet, Elisabeth, 1997. "Nafta And Agriculture: An Early Assessment," CUDARE Working Papers 25089, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ucbecw:25089
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.25089
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. de Janvry, Alain & Sadoulet, Elisabeth & de Anda, Gustavo Gordillo, 1995. "NAFTA and Mexico's maize producers," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 23(8), pages 1349-1362, August.
    2. Philip Martin, 1995. "Mexican-U.S. Migration: Policies and Economic Impacts," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 56-62, March.
    3. David G. Abler & Daniel Pick, 1993. "NAFTA, Agriculture, and the Environment in Mexico," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(3), pages 794-798.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nti, Frank Kyekyeku, 2016. "Nafta At 21: Structural Change In Mexican’S Demand For U.S. Meat And Meat Products," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 4(4), pages 1-10, October.
    2. Colyer, Dale, 2002. "Environmental Impacts Of Agricultural Trade Under Nafta," Conference Papers 19104, West Virginia University, Department of Agricultural Resource Economics.
    3. Beilock, Richard P. & Espinel, Ramon L. & Nalampang, Sikavas, 2002. "The Non-event of Produce and NAFTA," Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade, vol. 3(1), pages 1-18.
    4. Colyer, Dale, 2004. "Environmental Provisions in Trade Agreements," Conference Papers 19103, West Virginia University, Department of Agricultural Resource Economics.

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