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Healthy diets and reduced land pressure: Towards a double gain for future food systems in Nigeria

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  • Smeets Kristkova, Zuzana
  • Achterbosch, Thom
  • Kuiper, Marijke

Abstract

This paper aims to analyse how the food system in Nigeria is expected to transform in the next decades, and to identify the leverage points for making sure that the transformation contributes to balanced consumer diets. A well-established global economy-wide model MAGNET is applied that enables to capture the interlinkages among different food industry players in one consistent framework. By linking MAGNET to the GENUS nutritional database, it is further possible to relate the developments occurring on a macro-level with detailed macro and micro nutrient consumption. Model projections suggest that a process of intensification of agriculture in combination with land substitution appears critical for the evolution of food and nutrition security, and for shifts towards healthy diets for the population. Intensification results in greater diversity of the production systems, which in turn cascades into positive effects on the diversity in the food supply and better food security outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Smeets Kristkova, Zuzana & Achterbosch, Thom & Kuiper, Marijke, 2019. "Healthy diets and reduced land pressure: Towards a double gain for future food systems in Nigeria," Conference papers 333030, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333030
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/333030/files/9189.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Keeney, Roman & Thomas Hertel, 2005. "GTAP-AGR : A Framework for Assessing the Implications of Multilateral Changes in Agricultural Policies," GTAP Technical Papers 1869, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    2. Maryia Mandryk & Jonathan Doelman & Elke Stehfest, 2015. "Assessment of global land availability: land supply for agriculture," FOODSECURE Technical papers 7, LEI Wageningen UR.
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