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CGE Simulation of the ASEAN Economic Community and RCEP under Long-term Productivity Scenarios

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  • Itakura, Ken

Abstract

We conduct counterfactual simulation experiments of economic growth in the ASEAN Member States through a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of global trade. Based on the CGE model involving 24 countries and 25 sectors, we construct four simulation scenarios from 2018 to 2035, and then we consider the simulation results on real GDP, productivity growth, production structure, and wage rates for ASEAN.

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  • Itakura, Ken, 2017. "CGE Simulation of the ASEAN Economic Community and RCEP under Long-term Productivity Scenarios," Conference papers 332896, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332896
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Itakura, Ken, 2014. "Impact of liberalization and improved connectivity and facilitation in ASEAN," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 2-11.
    2. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
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