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Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps

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  • Ugolini, Andrea
  • Reboredo, Juan Carlos
  • Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier

Abstract

We study whether climate transition risk is reflected in the credit default swap (CDS) spreads of firms. Using information on the vulnerability of a firm’s value to the transition to a low carbon economy, we construct a climate transition risk (CTR) factor, and document how this factor shifts the term structure of the CDS spreads of more vulnerable firms but not of less vulnerable firms. Considering the impact of different climate transition policies on the CTR factor, we find that they have asymmetric and significant economic impacts on the credit risk of more vulnerable firms, and negligible effects on the remaining firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Ugolini, Andrea & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier, 2023. "Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps," FEEM Working Papers 330720, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:feemwp:330720
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.330720
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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