IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/eureia/272361.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Some Advances In Bayesian Estimation Methods Using Monte Carlo Integration

Author

Listed:
  • van Dijk, H. K.

Abstract

In this paper some Monte Carlo integration methods are discussed that can be used for the efficient computation of posterior moments and densities of parameters of econometric and, more generally, statistical models. The methods are based on the principle of importance sampling and are intended for the evaluation of multi-dimensional integrals where the integrand is unimodal and multivariate skew. That is, the integrand has different tail behavior in different directions. Illustrative results are presented on the dynamic behavior and the probability of explosion of a small scale macro-economic model. This application involves nine-dimensional numerical integration.

Suggested Citation

  • van Dijk, H. K., 1987. "Some Advances In Bayesian Estimation Methods Using Monte Carlo Integration," Econometric Institute Archives 272361, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eureia:272361
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.272361
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/272361/files/erasmus195.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/272361/files/erasmus195.pdf?subformat=pdfa
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.272361?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geweke, John, 1986. "Exact Inference in the Inequality Constrained Normal Linear Regression Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(2), pages 127-141, April.
    2. Quandt, Richard E., 1983. "Computational problems and methods," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 12, pages 699-764, Elsevier.
    3. Kloek, Tuen & van Dijk, Herman K, 1978. "Bayesian Estimates of Equation System Parameters: An Application of Integration by Monte Carlo," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Van Dijk, Herman K. & Kloek, Teun & Boender, C. Guus E., 1985. "Posterior moments computed by mixed integration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1-2), pages 3-18.
    5. Kooiman, Peter & Van Dijk, Herman K. & Thurik, A. Roy, 1985. "Likelihood diagnostics and Bayesian analysis of a micro-economic disequilibrium model for retail services," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1-2), pages 121-148.
    6. Kiefer, Nicholas M, 1981. "Limited Information Analysis of a Small Underidentified Macroeconomic Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 22(2), pages 429-442, June.
    7. Hendry, David F., 1984. "Monte carlo experimentation in econometrics," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 16, pages 937-976, Elsevier.
    8. van Dijk, H. K. & Hop, J. P. & Louter, A. S., 1986. "An Algorithm For The Computation Of Posterior Moments And Densities Using Simple Importance Sampling," Econometric Institute Archives 272354, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    9. van Dijk, H. K. & Kloek, T., 1980. "Further experience in Bayesian analysis using Monte Carlo integration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 307-328, December.
    10. van Dijk, H. K. & Kloek, T., 1982. "Posterior Moments Of The Klein-Goldberger Model," Econometric Institute Archives 272269, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    11. van Dijk, H. K. & Kloek, T., 1983. "Experiments With Some Alternatives For Simple Importance Sampling In Monte Carlo Integration," Econometric Institute Archives 272281, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    12. van Dijk, H. K. & Kloek, T., 1976. "PREDICTIVE MOMENTS OF SIMULTANEOUS ECONOMETRIC MODELS A Bayesian Approach," Econometric Institute Archives 272131, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    13. van Dijk, H. K. & Kloek, T., 1982. "Monte Carlo Analysis Of Skew Posterior Distributions: An Illustrative Econometric Example," Econometric Institute Archives 272268, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bauwens, L. & Dijk, H. K., 1989. "Bayesian Limited Information Analysis Revisited," Econometric Institute Archives 272386, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    2. van Dijk, H.K., 2002. "On Bayesian structural inference in a simultaneous equation model," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2002-10, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    3. Hop, J. P. & van Duk, H. K., 1990. "Two Algorithms For The Computation Of Posterior Moments And Densities Using Monte Carlo Integration," Econometric Institute Archives 272483, Erasmus University Rotterdam.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hop, J. P. & van Duk, H. K., 1990. "Two Algorithms For The Computation Of Posterior Moments And Densities Using Monte Carlo Integration," Econometric Institute Archives 272483, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    2. James A. Chalfant & Richard S. Gray & Kenneth J. White, 1991. "Evaluating Prior Beliefs in a Demand System: The Case of Meat Demand in Canada," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(2), pages 476-490.
    3. Steel, Mark F. J., 1991. "A Bayesian analysis of simultaneous equation models by combining recursive analytical and numerical approaches," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1-2), pages 83-117.
    4. Lennart F. Hoogerheide & Johan F. Kaashoek, 2004. "Functional Approximations to Likelihoods/Posterior Densities: A Neural Network Approach to Efficient Sampling," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 74, Society for Computational Economics.
    5. van Dijk, H. K. & Kloek, T., 1983. "Experiments With Some Alternatives For Simple Importance Sampling In Monte Carlo Integration," Econometric Institute Archives 272281, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    6. Heckelei, Thomas & Mittelhammer, Ronald C., 1996. "Bayesian Bootstrap Analysis of Systems of Equations," Discussion Papers 18786, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    7. Van Dijk, Herman K. & Kloek, Teun & Boender, C. Guus E., 1985. "Posterior moments computed by mixed integration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1-2), pages 3-18.
    8. Denis Fougère & Thierry Kamionka, 2003. "Bayesian inference for the mover-stayer model in continuous time with an application to labour market transition data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(6), pages 697-723.
    9. Heckelei, Thomas & Mittelhammer, Ron C., 2003. "Bayesian bootstrap multivariate regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 241-264, February.
    10. HOOGERHEIDE, Lennart F. & VAN DIJK, Herman K. & VAN OEST, Rutger D., 2007. "Simulation based Bayesian econometric inference: principles and some recent computational advances," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2007015, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    11. Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 1995. "A numerical bayesian test for cointegration of AR processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 289-324.
    12. van Dijk, H. K. & Hop, J. P. & Louter, A. S., 1986. "An Algorithm For The Computation Of Posterior Moments And Densities Using Simple Importance Sampling," Econometric Institute Archives 272354, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    13. Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "On the Rise of Bayesian Econometrics after Cowles Foundation Monographs 10, 14," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-085/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 04 Sep 2014.
    14. Hoogerheide, Lennart F. & Kaashoek, Johan F. & van Dijk, Herman K., 2007. "On the shape of posterior densities and credible sets in instrumental variable regression models with reduced rank: An application of flexible sampling methods using neural networks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 139(1), pages 154-180, July.
    15. Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Historical Developments in Bayesian Econometrics after Cowles Foundation Monographs 10, 14," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-191/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    16. Fernandez-Cornejo, Jorge, 1992. "Short- And Long-Run Demand And Substitution Of Agricultural Inputs," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 21(1), pages 1-14, April.
    17. H. K. Van Dijk, 1999. "Some remarks on the simulation revolution in bayesian econometric inference," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 105-112.
    18. Ardia, David & Hoogerheide, Lennart F., 2010. "Efficient Bayesian estimation and combination of GARCH-type models," MPRA Paper 22919, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Bauwens, Luc & Bos, Charles S. & van Dijk, Herman K. & van Oest, Rutger D., 2004. "Adaptive radial-based direction sampling: some flexible and robust Monte Carlo integration methods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 201-225, December.
    20. Hajivassiliou, Vassilis A. & Ruud, Paul A., 1986. "Classical estimation methods for LDV models using simulation," Handbook of Econometrics, in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 40, pages 2383-2441, Elsevier.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:eureia:272361. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feeurnl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.