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The Financial Value of Champagne Houses in a Cobweb Economy

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  • Declerck, Francis
  • Cloutier, L. Martin

Abstract

The objective of the paper is to simulate the corporate value of Champagne makers by taking into account the Champagne market evolution. These measurements are conducted by linking financial debt, performance and valuation to a vertical coordination model of production-consumption within a cobweb economy. The overall model uses the dynamic structure that underlies the strategic interactions amongst grape producers and wine makers. These segments coordinate grape production and trade by forming expectations about final consumption, price and stock risks. The paper examines the dynamics of the financial cash flows and net worth of Champagne houses for the 1977 – 2003 period using system dynamics (SD) modeling principles. The results presented in this paper report on key financial indicators for that period for financial debt, performance and valuation of Champagne makers. It provides a sound basis to pursue this work, because the model can further enhanced to anticipate the possible value Champagne makers for the coming crucial years since the Champagne appellation has reached its geographical limit determined by the protected designation of origin (PDO), while worldwide demand continues to grow.

Suggested Citation

  • Declerck, Francis & Cloutier, L. Martin, 2008. "The Financial Value of Champagne Houses in a Cobweb Economy," 110th Seminar, February 18-22, 2008, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 49842, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa110:49842
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.49842
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francis Declerck, 2005. "Managing price cycles in the Champagne industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 531-544.
    2. Marc Nerlove, 1958. "Adaptive Expectations and Cobweb Phenomena," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 72(2), pages 227-240.
    3. Oliver E. Williamson, 1991. "Strategizing, economizing, and economic organization," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(S2), pages 75-94, December.
    4. Klein, Benjamin & Crawford, Robert G & Alchian, Armen A, 1978. "Vertical Integration, Appropriable Rents, and the Competitive Contracting Process," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 21(2), pages 297-326, October.
    5. Colucci, D. & Valori, V., 2006. "Ways of learning in a simple economic setting: A comparison," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 653-670.
    6. Cloutier, Lucien Martin & Rowley, Robin, 2003. "Simulation, quantitative economics and econometrics: electronic infrastructure and challenges to methodological standards," European Journal of Economic and Social Systems, Lavoisier, vol. 16(1), pages 11-32.
    7. Mordecai Ezekiel, 1938. "The Cobweb Theorem," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 52(2), pages 255-280.
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