IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aesc16/236328.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Avian Influenza: outbreaks and the impact on UK consumer demand for poultry

Author

Listed:
  • Siettou, Christina

Abstract

According to FAO (2008) the year 2006 was identified as the ‘peak’ of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 with 60 countries reporting outbreaks. The UK had its first confirmed AI outbreak in March 2006 and, to date, the country has experienced eleven AI outbreaks. Most countries reporting AI outbreaks had, as a result, experienced a highly negative impact on their poultry consumption. This paper sets out to examine how AI outbreaks affected UK consumer demand for poultry. Pilot data have been obtained on a four weekly basis from the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) for the period May 2nd 2010 to March 1st 2015. By employing the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model, the preliminary results have indicated that during the examined period poultry meat had the highest demand in terms of monetary amounts accounting for 43 per cent of the market. Overall, the pilot data revealed that there is no evidence to support that the occurrence of an AI outbreak, either in the UK or elsewhere in the world, had affected consumption of poultry in the UK. This result complies with the FAS London statement that UK consumers have ‘faith’ in poultry.

Suggested Citation

  • Siettou, Christina, 2016. "Avian Influenza: outbreaks and the impact on UK consumer demand for poultry," 90th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2016, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 236328, Agricultural Economics Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aesc16:236328
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.236328
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/236328/files/Christina_Siettou_AES%20paper%202016%20Siettou.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.236328?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beach, Robert H. & Zhen, Chen, 2008. "Consumer Purchasing Behavior in Response to Media Coverage of Avian Influenza," 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas 6750, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Taljaard, Pieter R. & Alemu, Zerihun Gudeta & van Schalkwyk, Herman D., 2004. "The demand for meat in South Africa: An almost ideal estimation," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 43(4), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Taha, Fawzi A., 2007. "How Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H5N1) Has Affected World Poultry-Meat Trade," Miscellaneous Publications 7360, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Taljaard, Pieter R. & van Schalkwyk, Herman D. & Alemu, Zerihun Gudeta, 2006. "Choosing between the AIDS and Rotterdam models: A meat demand analysis case study," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 45(2), pages 1-15, June.
    5. Elif Akben & Gökhan Özertan & Aslýhan D. Spaulding & Sayed H. Saghaian, 2008. "Consumer responses to the H5N1 Avian Influenza: the case of Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 4(15), pages 1-9.
    6. Brian P. Poi, 2012. "Easy demand-system estimation with quaids," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 12(3), pages 433-446, September.
    7. Takashi Ishida & Noriko Ishikawa & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2010. "Impact of BSE and bird flu on consumers' meat demand in Japan," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 49-56.
    8. Deaton, Angus S & Muellbauer, John, 1980. "An Almost Ideal Demand System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 312-326, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Forgenie, David & Hutchinson, Sharon D. & Khoiriyah, Nikmatul & Mahase-Forgenie, Meera, 2023. "Analyzing Meat and Seafood Import Demand in Trinidad and Tobago Using the Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System Model," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 15(4), December.
    2. Widenhorn, Andreas & Salhofer, Klaus, 2014. "Using a Generalized Differenced Demand Model to Estimate Price and Expenditure Elasticities for Milk and Meat in Austria," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 63(02), pages 1-16, June.
    3. H. Holly Wang & Paul Gardner de Beville, 2017. "The media impact of animal disease on the US meat demand," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 493-504, September.
    4. Widenhorn, Andreas & Salhofer, Klaus, 2014. "Using a Generalized Differenced Demand Model to Estimate Price and Expenditure Elasticities for Milk and Meat in Austria," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 63(2).
    5. Mardones, Cristian & Alvial, Esteban, 2024. "Evaluation of a carbon tax in Costa Rica linking a demand system focused on energy goods and an input-output model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    6. Fadhuile, Adelaide & Lemarie, Stephane & Pirotte, Alain, 2011. "Pesticides Uses in Crop Production: What Can We Learn from French Farmers Practices?," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103654, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. John Curtis & Brian Stanley, 2016. "Analysing Residential Energy Demand: An Error Correction Demand System Approach for Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(2), pages 185-211.
    8. Korir, Lilian & Rizov, Marian & Ruto, Eric, 2020. "Food security in Kenya: Insights from a household food demand model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 99-108.
    9. Rahbauer, S. & Staudigel, M. & Roosen, J., 2018. "Investigating German meat demand for consumer groups with different attitudes and sociodemographic characteristics," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277058, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    10. Pereda, Paula Carvalho & Moz-Christofoletti, Maria Alice & Duran, Ana Clara & Louzada, Maria Laura da Costa & Ng, Shu Wen, 2024. "Equity-Driven fiscal Policies: Taxing Ultra-Processed products and subsidizing minimally processed foods," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    11. Wisdom Akpalu & Michael Adu Okyere, 2023. "Fish Protein Transition in a Coastal Developing Country," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(3), pages 825-843, March.
    12. Stavroula Malla & K. K. Klein & Taryn Presseau, 2020. "Have health claims affected demand for fats and meats in Canada?," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 68(3), pages 271-287, September.
    13. Saayman, Andrea & Viljoen, Armand & Saayman, Melville, 2018. "Africa’s outbound tourism: An Almost Ideal Demand System perspective," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 141-158.
    14. Yumin Li & Yan Jiang & Shiyuan Li, 2022. "Price and income elasticities of electricity in China: Estimation and policy implications," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(S2), pages 76-90, November.
    15. Kira Lancker & Julia Bronnmann, 2022. "Substitution Preferences for Fish in Senegal," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(4), pages 1015-1045, August.
    16. Moz-Christofoletti, Maria Alice & Pereda, Paula Carvalho, 2021. "Winners and losers: the distributional impacts of a carbon tax in Brazil," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    17. Jorge Alberto Rosas Flores & David Morillón Gálvez & Rodolfo Silva, 2024. "Effects of Removing Energy Subsidies and Implementing Carbon Taxes on Urban, Rural and Gender Welfare: Evidence from Mexico," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-17, May.
    18. Asfaw, Solomon & Cattaneo, Andrea & Pallante, Giacomo & Palma, Alessandro, 2017. "Improving the efficiency targeting of Malawi's farm input subsidy programme: Big pain, small gain?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 104-118.
    19. Obisesan, Adekemi, 2021. "Households’ Demand for Fruits and Vegetables in Nigeria: Panel QUAIDS Approach," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315858, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    20. Vargas-Lopez, Adrian & Cicatiello, Clara & Principato, Ludovica & Secondi, Luca, 2022. "Consumer expenditure, elasticity and value of food waste: A Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System for evaluating changes in Mexico during COVID-19," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aesc16:236328. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aesukea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.