IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aare05/137837.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Modelling agricultural supply response in Vietnam using a GIS and positive mathematical programming

Author

Listed:
  • Brennan, Donna C.

Abstract

The potential for supplementing sparse economic data and aggregate production data with a detailed specification of land quality constraints obtained from a Geographical Information System, in order to parameterise a regional model of rice acreage response in Vietnam, is investigated in this paper. It is asserted that such an approach has advantages in terms of improved credibility amongst agricultural scientists cum policy makers because of the detailed attention to land capability, compared to conventional elasticity based approaches that are commonly used for agricultural policy analysis when data is scarce. The approach relies on the use of Positive Mathematical Programming to calibrate the acreage response for land classes where more than one farming system is observed in the baseline data. Sensitivity of the model to the nature of the calibration assumptions are presented, and results regarding acreage response with respect to rice prices, in different seasons and regions are presented and discussed. It is concluded that while the current model relies on some heroic assumptions regarding interpretation of the available information, it could be improved considerably, and at low cost, if taken up and developed within the Ministry. There remains, however, a research agenda regarding farm household decision making in rice based production systems of Vietnam that could provide for improved calibration in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Brennan, Donna C., 2005. "Modelling agricultural supply response in Vietnam using a GIS and positive mathematical programming," 2005 Conference (49th), February 9-11, 2005, Coff's Harbour, Australia 137837, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aare05:137837
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.137837
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/137837/files/2005_dbrennan.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.137837?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Williams,Jeffrey C. & Wright,Brian D., 2005. "Storage and Commodity Markets," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521023399, September.
    2. Ottmar Röhm & Stephan Dabbert, 2003. "Integrating Agri-Environmental Programs into Regional Production Models: An Extension of Positive Mathematical Programming," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(1), pages 254-265.
    3. Piggott, Roley R. & Parton, Kevin A. & Treadgold, Elaine M. & Hutabarat, Budiman, 1993. "Food Price Policy in Indonesia," Monographs, Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research, number 118694.
    4. Quirino Paris, 2002. "An Analysis of Ill-Posed Production Problems Using Maximum Entropy: Reply," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(1), pages 247-247.
    5. Quirino Paris & Richard E. Howitt, 1998. "An Analysis of Ill-Posed Production Problems Using Maximum Entropy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 80(1), pages 124-138.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carpentier, Alain & Letort, Elodie, 2009. "Modeling acreage decisions within the multinomial Logit framework," Working Papers 211011, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    2. Jon Duan & G. Cornelis van Kooten & A. T. M. Hasibul Islam, 2023. "Calibration of Grid Models for Analyzing Energy Policies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-21, January.
    3. Liu, Xuan & van Kooten, Gerrit Cornelis & Duan, Jun, 2020. "Calibration of agricultural risk programming models using positive mathematical programming," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(3), July.
    4. Samira Shayanmehr & Jana Ivanič Porhajašová & Mária Babošová & Mahmood Sabouhi Sabouni & Hosein Mohammadi & Shida Rastegari Henneberry & Naser Shahnoushi Foroushani, 2022. "The Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources and Crop Production in an Arid Region," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-22, July.
    5. Marks, Daan, 2010. "Unity or diversity? On the integration and efficiency of rice markets in Indonesia, c. 1920-2006," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 310-324, July.
    6. Louhichi, Kamel & Flichman, Guillermo & Blanco Fonseca, Maria, 2009. "A generic template for FSSIM," Reports 57463, Wageningen University, SEAMLESS: System for Environmental and Agricultural Modelling; Linking European Science and Society.
    7. Blanco Fonseca, Maria & Iglesias Martinez, Eva, 2005. "Modelling New EU Agricultural Policies: Global Guidelines, Local Strategies," 89th Seminar, February 2-5, 2005, Parma, Italy 232644, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Fragoso, R. & Marques, C. & Lucas, M.R. & Martins, M.B. & Jorge, R., 2011. "The economic effects of common agricultural policy on Mediterranean montado/dehesa ecosystem," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 311-327, March.
    9. Bulgheroni, Claudia & Sali, Guido, 2008. "Pressure Factors Affecting Lombardy Agricultural System: The Environmental Consequences Of The Fischler Reform," 109th Seminar, November 20-21, 2008, Viterbo, Italy 44827, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    10. Henseler, Martin & Wirsig, Alexander & Krimly, Tatjana, 2005. "Development, Testing and Application of ACRE: An Agro-Economic Production Model on Regional Level," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24770, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    11. Donati, Michele & Bodini, Diego & Arfini, Filippo & Zezza, Annalisa, 2013. "An integrated PMP model to assess the development of agro-energy crops and the effect on water requirements," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 2(3), pages 1-21, December.
    12. Henseler, Martin & Krimly, Tatjana & Wirsig, Alexander, 2006. "An Agro-Economic Production Model for a Middle European River Basin - First Results of CAP Reform Scenario Calculations," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25612, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Judez, Lucinio & de Andres, Rosario & Ibanez, M. & De Miguel, J.M. & Miguel, J.L. & Urzainqui, Elvira, 2008. "Impact Of The Cap Reform On The Spanish Agricultural Sector," 109th Seminar, November 20-21, 2008, Viterbo, Italy 44830, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Arfini, Filippo & Donati, Michele & Marongiu, Sonia & Cesaro, Luca, 2012. "Farm production costs estimation trough PMP Models: an application in three Italian Regions," 2012 First Congress, June 4-5, 2012, Trento, Italy 124117, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    15. Mugurel Ionel JITEA & Diana Elena DUMITRAȘ & Vasile Alexandru SIMU, 2015. "An ex-ante impact assessment of the Common Agricultural Policy reform in the North-Western Romania," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 61(2), pages 88-103.
    16. Funk, Bryana & Amer, Saud A. & Ward, Frank A., 2023. "Sustainable aquifer management for food security," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    17. Rui Manuel de Sousa Fragoso & Maria de Belém Ferreira da Silva Costa Freitas & Maria Raquel David Pereira Ventura Lucas & Carlos Alberto Falcão Marques, 2009. "The Economic Effects of Common Agricultural Policy Trends on Montado Ecosystem in Southern Portugal," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2009_12, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
    18. Md Kamar Ali, 2016. "Improving Allocative Efficiency of Scarce Water in Southern Alberta," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(02), pages 1-22, June.
    19. Heckelei, Thomas & Britz, Wolfgang, 2005. "Models Based on Positive Mathematical Programming: State of the Art and Further Extensions," 89th Seminar, February 2-5, 2005, Parma, Italy 234607, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    20. Lee, Hwarang & Eom, Jiyong & Cho, Cheolhung & Koo, Yoonmo, 2019. "A bottom-up model of industrial energy system with positive mathematical programming," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 679-690.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aare05:137837. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaresea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.