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Regression-Based Simulation of Anti- Poverty Policies in Uganda

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  • Kraybill, David S.
  • Bashaasha, Bernard

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate factors affecting total household consumption and poverty in Uganda using household survey data. Our analysis indicates that household wellbeing can be improved by expanding education at all levels (primary, secondary, and university), expanding formal employment, increasing the number of microenterprises, reducing the average household size, expanding the number of schools and health facilities so that distance to these facilities is reduced, and by providing electricity, marketing outlets, credit, and telephone service in more communities. To help policymakers assess the effects of particular policies on the national poverty rate, we developed a simulation model from our regression estimates. The simulations translate the regression results into a form that policymakers can readily understand.

Suggested Citation

  • Kraybill, David S. & Bashaasha, Bernard, 2005. "Regression-Based Simulation of Anti- Poverty Policies in Uganda," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19203, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea05:19203
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.19203
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Todd Benson & Charles Machinjili & Lawrence Kachikopa, 2004. "Poverty in Malawi, 1998," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(3), pages 419-441.
    2. Mukherjee, Sanjukta & Benson, Todd, 2003. "The Determinants of Poverty in Malawi, 1998," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 339-358, February.
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    4. Foster, James & Greer, Joel & Thorbecke, Erik, 1984. "A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 761-766, May.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2003. "Uganda: Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper Annual Progress Report," IMF Staff Country Reports 2003/301, International Monetary Fund.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2003. "Albania: Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper Progress Report," IMF Staff Country Reports 2003/164, International Monetary Fund.
    7. World Bank, 2004. "World Development Indicators 2004," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13890.
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